Latest meteorological guidance points to a pronounced warm anomaly across coastal Israel on May 17, driven by a Sharav-type flow drawing hot, dry air from the interior deserts under clear skies and weak onshore winds. This setup favors rapid daytime heating at Ben Gurion International Airport, where official observations are recorded, elevating the market-implied probability of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 35 °C to 63 percent while assigning 33 percent to exactly 34 °C. Mid-May climatology for the region averages 26–28 °C, so the current positioning reflects a several-degree departure supported by model consensus on minimal cloud cover and limited sea-breeze moderation through peak afternoon hours. Final resolution hinges on the highest hourly reading reported by NOAA, with any late-day cooling or unexpected moisture influx capable of shifting the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
35°C or higher 64%
34°C 36%
33°C <1%
32°C <1%
$19,877 Vol.
$19,877 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
36%
35°C or higher
64%
35°C or higher 64%
34°C 36%
33°C <1%
32°C <1%
$19,877 Vol.
$19,877 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
36%
35°C or higher
64%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest meteorological guidance points to a pronounced warm anomaly across coastal Israel on May 17, driven by a Sharav-type flow drawing hot, dry air from the interior deserts under clear skies and weak onshore winds. This setup favors rapid daytime heating at Ben Gurion International Airport, where official observations are recorded, elevating the market-implied probability of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 35 °C to 63 percent while assigning 33 percent to exactly 34 °C. Mid-May climatology for the region averages 26–28 °C, so the current positioning reflects a several-degree departure supported by model consensus on minimal cloud cover and limited sea-breeze moderation through peak afternoon hours. Final resolution hinges on the highest hourly reading reported by NOAA, with any late-day cooling or unexpected moisture influx capable of shifting the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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