Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 16, reflecting a blend of Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance projecting a daytime high near 22°C amid cooling northerly flows, offset by warmer signals from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 24-26°C. This positioning stems from yesterday's May 14 high of around 31°C under lingering heat, followed by a sharp drop today to 23°C due to a weakening high-pressure ridge and increased sea breeze influence from the Mediterranean. Historical mid-May averages hover at 26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor moderation, with low precipitation risk; watch overnight model runs for potential refinements as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
25°C 50%
24°C 38%
26°C 13%
23°C 4.1%
新規
$11,546 Vol.
新規
$11,546 Vol.
2026/05/16
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
38%
25°C
50%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 50%
24°C 38%
26°C 13%
23°C 4.1%
新規
$11,546 Vol.
新規
$11,546 Vol.
2026/05/16
18°C or below
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$690 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$823 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,149 Vol.
1%
22°C
$687 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,011 Vol.
4%
24°C
$1,097 Vol.
38%
25°C
$962 Vol.
50%
26°C
$803 Vol.
13%
27°C
$1,320 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$1,819 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 16, reflecting a blend of Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance projecting a daytime high near 22°C amid cooling northerly flows, offset by warmer signals from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 24-26°C. This positioning stems from yesterday's May 14 high of around 31°C under lingering heat, followed by a sharp drop today to 23°C due to a weakening high-pressure ridge and increased sea breeze influence from the Mediterranean. Historical mid-May averages hover at 26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor moderation, with low precipitation risk; watch overnight model runs for potential refinements as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
音量
$11,546終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 16, reflecting a blend of Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance projecting a daytime high near 22°C amid cooling northerly flows, offset by warmer signals from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 24-26°C. This positioning stems from yesterday's May 14 high of around 31°C under lingering heat, followed by a sharp drop today to 23°C due to a weakening high-pressure ridge and increased sea breeze influence from the Mediterranean. Historical mid-May averages hover at 26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor moderation, with low precipitation risk; watch overnight model runs for potential refinements as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$11,546終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 16, reflecting a blend of Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance projecting a daytime high near 22°C amid cooling northerly flows, offset by warmer signals from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 24-26°C. This positioning stems from yesterday's May 14 high of around 31°C under lingering heat, followed by a sharp drop today to 23°C due to a weakening high-pressure ridge and increased sea breeze influence from the Mediterranean. Historical mid-May averages hover at 26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor moderation, with low precipitation risk; watch overnight model runs for potential refinements as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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