Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 19°C (93.5% implied probability) at Cape Town International Airport Station, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast and numerical weather prediction model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds shifting to moderate southerlies, and limited solar insolation capping daytime heating. Morning observations confirm a chilly start around 12°C amid lingering low clouds from a nearby cold front positioned 750 km southwest, aligning precisely with historical May averages of 19–20°C for the airport. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected prolonged sunshine or delayed wind shift, potentially nudging the max to 20°C; real-time SAWS hourly data and afternoon updates will clarify as the market nears resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
19°C 96.5%
20°C 3.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$34,108 Vol.
$34,108 Vol.
2026/05/15
19°C
97%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 96.5%
20°C 3.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$34,108 Vol.
$34,108 Vol.
2026/05/15
19°C
$3,647 Vol.
97%
20°C
$1,956 Vol.
3%
21°C
$3,152 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,835 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,967 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,041 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 19°C (93.5% implied probability) at Cape Town International Airport Station, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast and numerical weather prediction model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds shifting to moderate southerlies, and limited solar insolation capping daytime heating. Morning observations confirm a chilly start around 12°C amid lingering low clouds from a nearby cold front positioned 750 km southwest, aligning precisely with historical May averages of 19–20°C for the airport. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected prolonged sunshine or delayed wind shift, potentially nudging the max to 20°C; real-time SAWS hourly data and afternoon updates will clarify as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
音量
$34,108終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 19°C (93.5% implied probability) at Cape Town International Airport Station, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast and numerical weather prediction model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds shifting to moderate southerlies, and limited solar insolation capping daytime heating. Morning observations confirm a chilly start around 12°C amid lingering low clouds from a nearby cold front positioned 750 km southwest, aligning precisely with historical May averages of 19–20°C for the airport. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected prolonged sunshine or delayed wind shift, potentially nudging the max to 20°C; real-time SAWS hourly data and afternoon updates will clarify as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$34,108終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 19°C (93.5% implied probability) at Cape Town International Airport Station, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast and numerical weather prediction model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds shifting to moderate southerlies, and limited solar insolation capping daytime heating. Morning observations confirm a chilly start around 12°C amid lingering low clouds from a nearby cold front positioned 750 km southwest, aligning precisely with historical May averages of 19–20°C for the airport. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected prolonged sunshine or delayed wind shift, potentially nudging the max to 20°C; real-time SAWS hourly data and afternoon updates will clarify as the market nears resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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