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Climate & Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

icon for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Climate & Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

6月 30

12月 31

6月 30

12月 31

Polymarket

$7,733,910 Vol.

Polymarket

$7,733,910 Vol.

↑3k

$68,426 Vol.

75%

↑3.5k

$0 Vol.

50%

↑4k

$181,981 Vol.

27%

↑5k

$223,518 Vol.

18%

↑7.5k

$178,708 Vol.

11%

↑10k

$6,507,890 Vol.

7%

↑12.5k

$347,621 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of mid-June 2026, the CDC has confirmed 2,073 measles cases nationwide, already approaching the full-year 2025 total of 2,288 and reflecting sustained community transmission primarily among unvaccinated or unknown-status individuals (93% of cases). Major ongoing outbreaks, including those originating in 2025 in South Carolina and Utah, account for most infections, with 30 new outbreaks reported this year and the majority locally acquired rather than imported. Lower MMR vaccination coverage in specific communities, combined with high measles transmissibility (R0 of 12–18), drives the elevated case counts relative to pre-2025 baselines. Weekly CDC surveillance updates on confirmed cases and outbreaks represent key upcoming data releases that could shift totals before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
音量
$7,733,910
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 16, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of mid-June 2026, the CDC has confirmed 2,073 measles cases nationwide, already approaching the full-year 2025 total of 2,288 and reflecting sustained community transmission primarily among unvaccinated or unknown-status individuals (93% of cases). Major ongoing outbreaks, including those originating in 2025 in South Carolina and Utah, account for most infections, with 30 new outbreaks reported this year and the majority locally acquired rather than imported. Lower MMR vaccination coverage in specific communities, combined with high measles transmissibility (R0 of 12–18), drives the elevated case counts relative to pre-2025 baselines. Weekly CDC surveillance updates on confirmed cases and outbreaks represent key upcoming data releases that could shift totals before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
音量
$7,733,910
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 16, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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よくある質問

「Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑500」で100%、次いで「↑1k」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?」は$7.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 1, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑500」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↑1k」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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