Trader consensus on a 96% implied probability of no new coronavirus pandemic in 2026 stems from persistently low SARS-CoV-2 circulation and the lack of any novel coronavirus spillover. CDC data show infections growing across U.S. states yet with very low emergency department visits (0.3%) and wastewater activity, while WHO reports confirm stable, low global case counts and minimal hospitalizations through mid-2026. Existing population immunity from prior exposure and vaccination limits severity of evolving variants such as BA.3.2 and recent Omicron descendants. Realistic shifts could arise from a highly transmissible new sarbecovirus or immune-evading strain causing widespread severe disease, with upcoming genomic surveillance and respiratory season data serving as key monitoring points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$22,662 Vol.
$22,662 Vol.
はい
$22,662 Vol.
$22,662 Vol.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a 96% implied probability of no new coronavirus pandemic in 2026 stems from persistently low SARS-CoV-2 circulation and the lack of any novel coronavirus spillover. CDC data show infections growing across U.S. states yet with very low emergency department visits (0.3%) and wastewater activity, while WHO reports confirm stable, low global case counts and minimal hospitalizations through mid-2026. Existing population immunity from prior exposure and vaccination limits severity of evolving variants such as BA.3.2 and recent Omicron descendants. Realistic shifts could arise from a highly transmissible new sarbecovirus or immune-evading strain causing widespread severe disease, with upcoming genomic surveillance and respiratory season data serving as key monitoring points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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