Apple’s sharp post-earnings sell-off on July 31, 2026, after fiscal Q3 revenue of $109.4 billion beat estimates but September-quarter guidance of 9–11% growth fell short of consensus, now dominates trader focus for the week of August 3. CEO Tim Cook highlighted memory-chip supply constraints that are expected to limit iPhone, Mac, and iPad production, pressuring shares from a July 29 high of $344.57 to a July 31 close of $308.91. With the stock trading near $307 after hours, market-implied odds for finishing the week above common thresholds will hinge on whether the sell-off stabilizes or extends amid broader tech sentiment. Key near-term catalysts include the August 3 ISM manufacturing PMI and the August 7 employment report, both of which could shift rate-cut expectations and risk appetite for growth names like AAPL.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$275
50%
$280
50%
$285
50%
$290
50%
$295
50%
$300
77%
$305
50%
$310
50%
$315
24%
$320
50%
$325
50%
$330
50%
$335
48%
$0.00 Vol.
$275
50%
$280
50%
$285
50%
$290
50%
$295
50%
$300
77%
$305
50%
$310
50%
$315
24%
$320
50%
$325
50%
$330
50%
$335
48%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Apple’s sharp post-earnings sell-off on July 31, 2026, after fiscal Q3 revenue of $109.4 billion beat estimates but September-quarter guidance of 9–11% growth fell short of consensus, now dominates trader focus for the week of August 3. CEO Tim Cook highlighted memory-chip supply constraints that are expected to limit iPhone, Mac, and iPad production, pressuring shares from a July 29 high of $344.57 to a July 31 close of $308.91. With the stock trading near $307 after hours, market-implied odds for finishing the week above common thresholds will hinge on whether the sell-off stabilizes or extends amid broader tech sentiment. Key near-term catalysts include the August 3 ISM manufacturing PMI and the August 7 employment report, both of which could shift rate-cut expectations and risk appetite for growth names like AAPL.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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