Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion, supported by 24% year-over-year revenue growth to $119.8 billion in Q2 2026 and an 82% surge in Google Cloud to $24.8 billion, underpins the 61.5% implied probability for the $4.00–$4.50 trillion bin at end-August. Traders price in sustained AI-driven momentum and operating margin expansion to 34%, tempered by elevated capital expenditures now guided at $195–205 billion and recent $25 billion bond issuance to fund infrastructure. Berkshire Hathaway’s increased stake adds institutional support, while limited near-term catalysts and stable share prices around $345 favor range-bound outcomes over larger moves into higher or lower bins. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital consensus on these fundamentals and execution risks without guaranteeing results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$4.00-$4.50T 62%
$4.50-$5.00T 27%
$3.50-$4.00T 14.2%
$6.00T+ 1.9%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
<$3.50T
10%
$3.50-$4.00T
14%
$4.00-$4.50T
62%
$4.50-$5.00T
27%
$5.00-$5.50T
<1%
$5.50-$6.00T
1%
$6.00T+
2%
$4.00-$4.50T 62%
$4.50-$5.00T 27%
$3.50-$4.00T 14.2%
$6.00T+ 1.9%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
<$3.50T
$315 Vol.
10%
$3.50-$4.00T
$376 Vol.
14%
$4.00-$4.50T
$3,421 Vol.
62%
$4.50-$5.00T
$4,020 Vol.
27%
$5.00-$5.50T
$151 Vol.
<1%
$5.50-$6.00T
$218 Vol.
1%
$6.00T+
$256 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion, supported by 24% year-over-year revenue growth to $119.8 billion in Q2 2026 and an 82% surge in Google Cloud to $24.8 billion, underpins the 61.5% implied probability for the $4.00–$4.50 trillion bin at end-August. Traders price in sustained AI-driven momentum and operating margin expansion to 34%, tempered by elevated capital expenditures now guided at $195–205 billion and recent $25 billion bond issuance to fund infrastructure. Berkshire Hathaway’s increased stake adds institutional support, while limited near-term catalysts and stable share prices around $345 favor range-bound outcomes over larger moves into higher or lower bins. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital consensus on these fundamentals and execution risks without guaranteeing results.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
音量
$8,757終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion, supported by 24% year-over-year revenue growth to $119.8 billion in Q2 2026 and an 82% surge in Google Cloud to $24.8 billion, underpins the 61.5% implied probability for the $4.00–$4.50 trillion bin at end-August. Traders price in sustained AI-driven momentum and operating margin expansion to 34%, tempered by elevated capital expenditures now guided at $195–205 billion and recent $25 billion bond issuance to fund infrastructure. Berkshire Hathaway’s increased stake adds institutional support, while limited near-term catalysts and stable share prices around $345 favor range-bound outcomes over larger moves into higher or lower bins. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital consensus on these fundamentals and execution risks without guaranteeing results.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
音量
$8,757終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion, supported by 24% year-over-year revenue growth to $119.8 billion in Q2 2026 and an 82% surge in Google Cloud to $24.8 billion, underpins the 61.5% implied probability for the $4.00–$4.50 trillion bin at end-August. Traders price in sustained AI-driven momentum and operating margin expansion to 34%, tempered by elevated capital expenditures now guided at $195–205 billion and recent $25 billion bond issuance to fund infrastructure. Berkshire Hathaway’s increased stake adds institutional support, while limited near-term catalysts and stable share prices around $345 favor range-bound outcomes over larger moves into higher or lower bins. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital consensus on these fundamentals and execution risks without guaranteeing results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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