Palantir's robust Q2 2026 results, featuring 93% revenue growth and 149% U.S. commercial expansion alongside sharply raised full-year guidance, underpin trader focus on upside scenarios above $182 as the primary driver of current odds. Elevated valuation multiples near 148x earnings and recent profit-taking—evident in a pullback from post-earnings highs near $180 toward the $174 close on August 14—support the competitive 23% probability on closes below $164. Institutional positioning, including analyst target revisions and short activity, alongside AI sector sentiment, shapes the tight distribution across intermediate bins, with no major catalysts immediately ahead to resolve the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日182ドル超 27%
$164未満 23%
$164-$166 11%
$170〜$172 10%
$164未満
23%
$164-$166
11%
$166-$168
9%
$168〜$170
10%
$170〜$172
10%
$172〜$174
10%
$174〜$176
10%
$176-$178
10%
$178〜$180
9%
$180〜$182
9%
182ドル超
27%
182ドル超 27%
$164未満 23%
$164-$166 11%
$170〜$172 10%
$164未満
23%
$164-$166
11%
$166-$168
9%
$168〜$170
10%
$170〜$172
10%
$172〜$174
10%
$174〜$176
10%
$176-$178
10%
$178〜$180
9%
$180〜$182
9%
182ドル超
27%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Palantir's robust Q2 2026 results, featuring 93% revenue growth and 149% U.S. commercial expansion alongside sharply raised full-year guidance, underpin trader focus on upside scenarios above $182 as the primary driver of current odds. Elevated valuation multiples near 148x earnings and recent profit-taking—evident in a pullback from post-earnings highs near $180 toward the $174 close on August 14—support the competitive 23% probability on closes below $164. Institutional positioning, including analyst target revisions and short activity, alongside AI sector sentiment, shapes the tight distribution across intermediate bins, with no major catalysts immediately ahead to resolve the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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