Amazon’s current market capitalization stands near $2.74 trillion amid a share price of approximately $253.71. Trader consensus reflected in the leading $2.50–3.00 trillion bucket at 37% implied probability aligns with recent quarterly results showing AWS revenue accelerating 37% year-over-year to a $169 billion annualized run rate, alongside $200.6 billion in total net sales. Heavy 2026 capital expenditure plans near $220 billion for AI data centers, custom chips, and power infrastructure—including an $8 billion Generac generator agreement—support growth expectations while pressuring near-term margins. Upcoming Q3 results on October 29 and broader equity sentiment tied to interest rates and tech valuations represent key swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the adjacent $2.00–2.50 trillion or $3.00–3.50 trillion ranges before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.50兆～3.00兆ドル 37%
2.00〜2.50兆ドル 20%
3兆～3.5兆ドル 19%
3.50～4.00兆ドル 8%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
＜2.00兆ドル
6%
2.00〜2.50兆ドル
20%
2.50兆～3.00兆ドル
37%
3兆～3.5兆ドル
19%
3.50～4.00兆ドル
8%
4.00〜4.50兆ドル
2%
4.5兆ドル以上
5%
2.50兆～3.00兆ドル 37%
2.00〜2.50兆ドル 20%
3兆～3.5兆ドル 19%
3.50～4.00兆ドル 8%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
＜2.00兆ドル
$366 Vol.
6%
2.00〜2.50兆ドル
$701 Vol.
20%
2.50兆～3.00兆ドル
$1,041 Vol.
37%
3兆～3.5兆ドル
$649 Vol.
19%
3.50～4.00兆ドル
$303 Vol.
8%
4.00〜4.50兆ドル
$222 Vol.
2%
4.5兆ドル以上
$292 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon’s current market capitalization stands near $2.74 trillion amid a share price of approximately $253.71. Trader consensus reflected in the leading $2.50–3.00 trillion bucket at 37% implied probability aligns with recent quarterly results showing AWS revenue accelerating 37% year-over-year to a $169 billion annualized run rate, alongside $200.6 billion in total net sales. Heavy 2026 capital expenditure plans near $220 billion for AI data centers, custom chips, and power infrastructure—including an $8 billion Generac generator agreement—support growth expectations while pressuring near-term margins. Upcoming Q3 results on October 29 and broader equity sentiment tied to interest rates and tech valuations represent key swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the adjacent $2.00–2.50 trillion or $3.00–3.50 trillion ranges before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
音量
$3,575終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon’s current market capitalization stands near $2.74 trillion amid a share price of approximately $253.71. Trader consensus reflected in the leading $2.50–3.00 trillion bucket at 37% implied probability aligns with recent quarterly results showing AWS revenue accelerating 37% year-over-year to a $169 billion annualized run rate, alongside $200.6 billion in total net sales. Heavy 2026 capital expenditure plans near $220 billion for AI data centers, custom chips, and power infrastructure—including an $8 billion Generac generator agreement—support growth expectations while pressuring near-term margins. Upcoming Q3 results on October 29 and broader equity sentiment tied to interest rates and tech valuations represent key swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the adjacent $2.00–2.50 trillion or $3.00–3.50 trillion ranges before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
音量
$3,575終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Amazon’s current market capitalization stands near $2.74 trillion amid a share price of approximately $253.71. Trader consensus reflected in the leading $2.50–3.00 trillion bucket at 37% implied probability aligns with recent quarterly results showing AWS revenue accelerating 37% year-over-year to a $169 billion annualized run rate, alongside $200.6 billion in total net sales. Heavy 2026 capital expenditure plans near $220 billion for AI data centers, custom chips, and power infrastructure—including an $8 billion Generac generator agreement—support growth expectations while pressuring near-term margins. Upcoming Q3 results on October 29 and broader equity sentiment tied to interest rates and tech valuations represent key swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the adjacent $2.00–2.50 trillion or $3.00–3.50 trillion ranges before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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