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icon for António Guterres out by December 31?

António Guterres out by December 31?

icon for António Guterres out by December 31?

António Guterres out by December 31?

32% 確率
Polymarket
新規
32% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres has publicly committed to completing his second term as United Nations Secretary-General, which ends on December 31, 2026, describing 2026 as his final year and outlining priorities including UN reform, sustainable development, and conflict prevention. The formal successor selection process, initiated in late 2025, advanced through candidate nominations and interactive dialogues in April 2026, following established procedures without Security Council pressure or diplomatic crises prompting early departure. No verified health concerns, scandals, or member-state campaigns for removal have emerged, even amid funding strains. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 68.5% aligns with historical patterns where incumbents serve full mandates absent extraordinary events.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,642
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres has publicly committed to completing his second term as United Nations Secretary-General, which ends on December 31, 2026, describing 2026 as his final year and outlining priorities including UN reform, sustainable development, and conflict prevention. The formal successor selection process, initiated in late 2025, advanced through candidate nominations and interactive dialogues in April 2026, following established procedures without Security Council pressure or diplomatic crises prompting early departure. No verified health concerns, scandals, or member-state campaigns for removal have emerged, even amid funding strains. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 68.5% aligns with historical patterns where incumbents serve full mandates absent extraordinary events.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,642
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「António Guterres out by December 31?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して32%です。例えば、「はい」が32¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を32%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「António Guterres out by December 31?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 21, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「António Guterres out by December 31?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「António Guterres out by December 31?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して32%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を32%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「António Guterres out by December 31?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。