Security Council straw polls in July and August 2026 produced no candidate with the nine encourage votes needed for a recommendation, leaving the field fragmented ahead of an expected third round. Rebeca Grynspan’s early lead and UNCTAD leadership, Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett’s recent poll gains and permanent-representative role, and Rafael Grossi’s IAEA experience set the top contenders apart through differing combinations of multilateral economic or security credentials and GRULAC regional backing. Additional candidates trail due to narrower national support or fewer encourage votes. Consolidation will hinge on further confidential ballots, permanent-member positioning, and negotiations over veto thresholds before any name advances to the General Assembly for formal appointment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Rebeca Grynspan 34%
キャロリン・ロドリゲス＝バルケット 22.3%
Rafael Grossi 14%
マリア・フェルナンダ・エスピノサ 12.3%
$194,425 Vol.
$194,425 Vol.
2026/12/30
Rebeca Grynspan
34%
キャロリン・ロドリゲス＝バルケット
22%
Rafael Grossi
14%
マリア・フェルナンダ・エスピノサ
12%
Macky Sall
7%
Michelle Bachelet
3%
オララ・オトゥンヌ
2%
イボンヌ・デ・バキ
1%
Rebeca Grynspan 34%
キャロリン・ロドリゲス＝バルケット 22.3%
Rafael Grossi 14%
マリア・フェルナンダ・エスピノサ 12.3%
$194,425 Vol.
$194,425 Vol.
2026/12/30
Rebeca Grynspan
$18,394 Vol.
34%
キャロリン・ロドリゲス＝バルケット
$3,636 Vol.
22%
Rafael Grossi
$26,833 Vol.
14%
マリア・フェルナンダ・エスピノサ
$7,255 Vol.
12%
Macky Sall
$120,820 Vol.
7%
Michelle Bachelet
$11,952 Vol.
3%
オララ・オトゥンヌ
$2,927 Vol.
2%
イボンヌ・デ・バキ
$2,609 Vol.
1%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Security Council straw polls in July and August 2026 produced no candidate with the nine encourage votes needed for a recommendation, leaving the field fragmented ahead of an expected third round. Rebeca Grynspan’s early lead and UNCTAD leadership, Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett’s recent poll gains and permanent-representative role, and Rafael Grossi’s IAEA experience set the top contenders apart through differing combinations of multilateral economic or security credentials and GRULAC regional backing. Additional candidates trail due to narrower national support or fewer encourage votes. Consolidation will hinge on further confidential ballots, permanent-member positioning, and negotiations over veto thresholds before any name advances to the General Assembly for formal appointment.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
音量
$194,425終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Security Council straw polls in July and August 2026 produced no candidate with the nine encourage votes needed for a recommendation, leaving the field fragmented ahead of an expected third round. Rebeca Grynspan’s early lead and UNCTAD leadership, Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett’s recent poll gains and permanent-representative role, and Rafael Grossi’s IAEA experience set the top contenders apart through differing combinations of multilateral economic or security credentials and GRULAC regional backing. Additional candidates trail due to narrower national support or fewer encourage votes. Consolidation will hinge on further confidential ballots, permanent-member positioning, and negotiations over veto thresholds before any name advances to the General Assembly for formal appointment.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$194,425終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Security Council straw polls in July and August 2026 produced no candidate with the nine encourage votes needed for a recommendation, leaving the field fragmented ahead of an expected third round. Rebeca Grynspan’s early lead and UNCTAD leadership, Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett’s recent poll gains and permanent-representative role, and Rafael Grossi’s IAEA experience set the top contenders apart through differing combinations of multilateral economic or security credentials and GRULAC regional backing. Additional candidates trail due to narrower national support or fewer encourage votes. Consolidation will hinge on further confidential ballots, permanent-member positioning, and negotiations over veto thresholds before any name advances to the General Assembly for formal appointment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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