Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane 21.6%
Kylian Mbappé 17%
Ousmane Dembélé 16.4%
Lamine Yamal 11%
$4,639,210 Vol.
$4,639,210 Vol.
2026/10/31
Harry Kane
22%
Kylian Mbappé
17%
Ousmane Dembélé
16%
Lamine Yamal
11%
Lionel Messi
10%
Michael Olise
6%
Vitinha
5%
Declan Rice
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
3%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 21.6%
Kylian Mbappé 17%
Ousmane Dembélé 16.4%
Lamine Yamal 11%
$4,639,210 Vol.
$4,639,210 Vol.
2026/10/31
Harry Kane
$764,969 Vol.
22%
Kylian Mbappé
$179,509 Vol.
17%
Ousmane Dembélé
$589,952 Vol.
16%
Lamine Yamal
$104,768 Vol.
11%
Lionel Messi
$38,675 Vol.
10%
Michael Olise
$112,064 Vol.
6%
Vitinha
$81,754 Vol.
5%
Declan Rice
$84,883 Vol.
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$90,283 Vol.
3%
Vinícius Júnior
$486,555 Vol.
2%
Erling Haaland
$297,380 Vol.
2%
Lautaro Martinez
$55,706 Vol.
1%
Achraf Hakimi
$40,428 Vol.
1%
Pedri
$299,614 Vol.
1%
Bruno Fernandes
$60,889 Vol.
1%
Luis Diaz
$50,771 Vol.
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$89,863 Vol.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$48,087 Vol.
<1%
Desire Doue
$45,487 Vol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$286,921 Vol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$417,633 Vol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$195,449 Vol.
<1%
Raphinha
$70,819 Vol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$47,480 Vol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$99,278 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
音量
$4,639,210終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
音量
$4,639,210終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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