Trader sentiment strongly favors a Bank of Israel rate cut in May, driven by the central bank’s established easing bias after two 25-basis-point reductions earlier in 2026 that brought the policy rate to 4.00 percent. Subdued inflation, with the latest forecasts placing 2026 readings at 1.7–2.2 percent within the lower half of the 1–3 percent target range, supports further monetary loosening despite the March hold. Markets view that pause as a temporary response to geopolitical uncertainty rather than a policy shift, especially as one-year inflation expectations have stabilized near 1.5–2.0 percent. Banks have already begun trimming deposit rates in anticipation of a 25-basis-point cut at the May 28 meeting, underscoring the high implied probability priced into the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日引き下げ 80%
変更なし 19%
引き上げ <1%
$41,051 Vol.
$41,051 Vol.
引き下げ
80%
変更なし
19%
引き上げ
1%
引き下げ 80%
変更なし 19%
引き上げ <1%
$41,051 Vol.
$41,051 Vol.
引き下げ
80%
変更なし
19%
引き上げ
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment strongly favors a Bank of Israel rate cut in May, driven by the central bank’s established easing bias after two 25-basis-point reductions earlier in 2026 that brought the policy rate to 4.00 percent. Subdued inflation, with the latest forecasts placing 2026 readings at 1.7–2.2 percent within the lower half of the 1–3 percent target range, supports further monetary loosening despite the March hold. Markets view that pause as a temporary response to geopolitical uncertainty rather than a policy shift, especially as one-year inflation expectations have stabilized near 1.5–2.0 percent. Banks have already begun trimming deposit rates in anticipation of a 25-basis-point cut at the May 28 meeting, underscoring the high implied probability priced into the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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