Democratic incumbent Jim Costa advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with 42.2% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26.4%, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate CA-21 as Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s Central Valley demographics, post-redistricting boundaries, and Costa’s long incumbency advantage. Trader consensus at 87.5% for Democrats aligns with these assessments and historical performance in the seat, though the general election remains months away and subject to shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,858 Vol.
$16,858 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
$16,858 Vol.
$16,858 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,172 Vol.
91%
共和党
$9,686 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Jim Costa advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with 42.2% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26.4%, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate CA-21 as Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s Central Valley demographics, post-redistricting boundaries, and Costa’s long incumbency advantage. Trader consensus at 87.5% for Democrats aligns with these assessments and historical performance in the seat, though the general election remains months away and subject to shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$16,858終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Jim Costa advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with 42.2% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26.4%, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate CA-21 as Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s Central Valley demographics, post-redistricting boundaries, and Costa’s long incumbency advantage. Trader consensus at 87.5% for Democrats aligns with these assessments and historical performance in the seat, though the general election remains months away and subject to shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,858終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Jim Costa advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with 42.2% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26.4%, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate CA-21 as Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s Central Valley demographics, post-redistricting boundaries, and Costa’s long incumbency advantage. Trader consensus at 87.5% for Democrats aligns with these assessments and historical performance in the seat, though the general election remains months away and subject to shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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