Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's strong reelection campaign in California's 21st Congressional District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley seat leans D+6 based on 2024 presidential results, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that shifted it leftward, while Costa holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $850,000 cash on hand versus Republicans Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polls show challengers closing the gap, though a top-two primary upset or high GOP turnout could narrow general election prospects on November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
88%
共和党
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,866 Vol.
88%
共和党
$1,394 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's strong reelection campaign in California's 21st Congressional District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley seat leans D+6 based on 2024 presidential results, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that shifted it leftward, while Costa holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $850,000 cash on hand versus Republicans Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polls show challengers closing the gap, though a top-two primary upset or high GOP turnout could narrow general election prospects on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$4,260終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's strong reelection campaign in California's 21st Congressional District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley seat leans D+6 based on 2024 presidential results, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that shifted it leftward, while Costa holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $850,000 cash on hand versus Republicans Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polls show challengers closing the gap, though a top-two primary upset or high GOP turnout could narrow general election prospects on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,260終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's strong reelection campaign in California's 21st Congressional District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley seat leans D+6 based on 2024 presidential results, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that shifted it leftward, while Costa holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $850,000 cash on hand versus Republicans Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polls show challengers closing the gap, though a top-two primary upset or high GOP turnout could narrow general election prospects on November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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