Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California’s 22nd congressional district toward a more Democratic-leaning profile, trimming the prior Trump margin to roughly two points and prompting several forecasters to rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic. In the June 2 top-two primary, Republican incumbent David Valadao received 40.7% while Democratic candidates combined for 59.3%, advancing progressive school board member Randy Villegas over the more moderate Jasmeet Bains. A July poll showed Villegas leading Valadao 48-44, with traders citing the district’s high Medicaid enrollment, criticism of Valadao’s votes on related spending cuts, and low Trump favorability as factors supporting the strong Democratic consensus reflected in current pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,192 Vol.
$12,192 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
87%
共和党
14%
$12,192 Vol.
$12,192 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,239 Vol.
87%
共和党
$5,954 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California’s 22nd congressional district toward a more Democratic-leaning profile, trimming the prior Trump margin to roughly two points and prompting several forecasters to rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic. In the June 2 top-two primary, Republican incumbent David Valadao received 40.7% while Democratic candidates combined for 59.3%, advancing progressive school board member Randy Villegas over the more moderate Jasmeet Bains. A July poll showed Villegas leading Valadao 48-44, with traders citing the district’s high Medicaid enrollment, criticism of Valadao’s votes on related spending cuts, and low Trump favorability as factors supporting the strong Democratic consensus reflected in current pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
音量
$12,192終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California’s 22nd congressional district toward a more Democratic-leaning profile, trimming the prior Trump margin to roughly two points and prompting several forecasters to rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic. In the June 2 top-two primary, Republican incumbent David Valadao received 40.7% while Democratic candidates combined for 59.3%, advancing progressive school board member Randy Villegas over the more moderate Jasmeet Bains. A July poll showed Villegas leading Valadao 48-44, with traders citing the district’s high Medicaid enrollment, criticism of Valadao’s votes on related spending cuts, and low Trump favorability as factors supporting the strong Democratic consensus reflected in current pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,192終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California’s 22nd congressional district toward a more Democratic-leaning profile, trimming the prior Trump margin to roughly two points and prompting several forecasters to rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic. In the June 2 top-two primary, Republican incumbent David Valadao received 40.7% while Democratic candidates combined for 59.3%, advancing progressive school board member Randy Villegas over the more moderate Jasmeet Bains. A July poll showed Villegas leading Valadao 48-44, with traders citing the district’s high Medicaid enrollment, criticism of Valadao’s votes on related spending cuts, and low Trump favorability as factors supporting the strong Democratic consensus reflected in current pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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