Recent House Rules Committee rejection of the FAIR BET Act amendment has reinforced barriers to repealing the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Republicans continue to defend the provision for its projected $1.1 billion revenue offset amid debt ceiling negotiations and appropriations deadlines. Bipartisan repeal measures, including the FULL HOUSE Act, remain stalled without floor consideration or inclusion in reconciliation packages. Industry advocacy, highlighted by UFC CEO Dana White’s recent appeal to President Trump, has generated attention but produced no procedural breakthroughs. With midterms approaching and competing legislative priorities dominant, traders assign the current 64.5% probability to no repeal occurring before the end of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$68,250 Vol.
$68,250 Vol.
はい
$68,250 Vol.
$68,250 Vol.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent House Rules Committee rejection of the FAIR BET Act amendment has reinforced barriers to repealing the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Republicans continue to defend the provision for its projected $1.1 billion revenue offset amid debt ceiling negotiations and appropriations deadlines. Bipartisan repeal measures, including the FULL HOUSE Act, remain stalled without floor consideration or inclusion in reconciliation packages. Industry advocacy, highlighted by UFC CEO Dana White’s recent appeal to President Trump, has generated attention but produced no procedural breakthroughs. With midterms approaching and competing legislative priorities dominant, traders assign the current 64.5% probability to no repeal occurring before the end of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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