The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025 established a permanent 90% cap on deductible gambling losses against winnings beginning with tax year 2026, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying to returns filed in 2027. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association continue to advocate for restoration of full deductibility through measures such as the FAIR Bet Act, yet introduced repeal bills have encountered procedural delays and failed to advance in the current Congress. With the legislative calendar constrained and no major floor votes or bipartisan breakthroughs recorded in recent months, traders assess limited prospects for enactment before the 2027 filing season, consistent with the 83% implied probability on No.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$71,073 Vol.
$71,073 Vol.
はい
$71,073 Vol.
$71,073 Vol.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025 established a permanent 90% cap on deductible gambling losses against winnings beginning with tax year 2026, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying to returns filed in 2027. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association continue to advocate for restoration of full deductibility through measures such as the FAIR Bet Act, yet introduced repeal bills have encountered procedural delays and failed to advance in the current Congress. With the legislative calendar constrained and no major floor votes or bipartisan breakthroughs recorded in recent months, traders assess limited prospects for enactment before the 2027 filing season, consistent with the 83% implied probability on No.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問