The 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill extended 2017 tax provisions without altering long-term capital gains rates, which remain at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Proposals to lower the top rate to 15 percent or index gains for inflation have surfaced in administration discussions and policy blueprints, yet none have advanced to enactment amid concerns over added federal debt exceeding hundreds of billions. Congressional focus on other fiscal measures and the need for legislative consensus continue to limit momentum for a reduction before the 2027 deadline. This backdrop supports trader consensus that no change is the more probable outcome in the near term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill extended 2017 tax provisions without altering long-term capital gains rates, which remain at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Proposals to lower the top rate to 15 percent or index gains for inflation have surfaced in administration discussions and policy blueprints, yet none have advanced to enactment amid concerns over added federal debt exceeding hundreds of billions. Congressional focus on other fiscal measures and the need for legislative consensus continue to limit momentum for a reduction before the 2027 deadline. This backdrop supports trader consensus that no change is the more probable outcome in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$1,576終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill extended 2017 tax provisions without altering long-term capital gains rates, which remain at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Proposals to lower the top rate to 15 percent or index gains for inflation have surfaced in administration discussions and policy blueprints, yet none have advanced to enactment amid concerns over added federal debt exceeding hundreds of billions. Congressional focus on other fiscal measures and the need for legislative consensus continue to limit momentum for a reduction before the 2027 deadline. This backdrop supports trader consensus that no change is the more probable outcome in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,576終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill extended 2017 tax provisions without altering long-term capital gains rates, which remain at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Proposals to lower the top rate to 15 percent or index gains for inflation have surfaced in administration discussions and policy blueprints, yet none have advanced to enactment amid concerns over added federal debt exceeding hundreds of billions. Congressional focus on other fiscal measures and the need for legislative consensus continue to limit momentum for a reduction before the 2027 deadline. This backdrop supports trader consensus that no change is the more probable outcome in the near term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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