Trump’s major 2025 tax legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, permanently extended key TCJA individual rate provisions and related deductions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at their existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Subsequent discussions have centered on narrower ideas such as inflation indexing of basis or expanded exclusions for primary residences, yet none have advanced into enacted law or firm legislative vehicles with timelines reaching 2027. Congressional attention has instead prioritized spending restraint, tariff implementation, and other fiscal measures amid rising debt projections, reducing near-term momentum for a standalone rate cut. With roughly six months remaining before the 2027 threshold and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle explicitly targeting long-term capital gains reductions, trader pricing reflects the absence of concrete progress and the limited remaining legislative calendar.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/12/31
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s major 2025 tax legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, permanently extended key TCJA individual rate provisions and related deductions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at their existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Subsequent discussions have centered on narrower ideas such as inflation indexing of basis or expanded exclusions for primary residences, yet none have advanced into enacted law or firm legislative vehicles with timelines reaching 2027. Congressional attention has instead prioritized spending restraint, tariff implementation, and other fiscal measures amid rising debt projections, reducing near-term momentum for a standalone rate cut. With roughly six months remaining before the 2027 threshold and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle explicitly targeting long-term capital gains reductions, trader pricing reflects the absence of concrete progress and the limited remaining legislative calendar.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$1,765終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s major 2025 tax legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, permanently extended key TCJA individual rate provisions and related deductions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at their existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Subsequent discussions have centered on narrower ideas such as inflation indexing of basis or expanded exclusions for primary residences, yet none have advanced into enacted law or firm legislative vehicles with timelines reaching 2027. Congressional attention has instead prioritized spending restraint, tariff implementation, and other fiscal measures amid rising debt projections, reducing near-term momentum for a standalone rate cut. With roughly six months remaining before the 2027 threshold and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle explicitly targeting long-term capital gains reductions, trader pricing reflects the absence of concrete progress and the limited remaining legislative calendar.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,765終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s major 2025 tax legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, permanently extended key TCJA individual rate provisions and related deductions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at their existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Subsequent discussions have centered on narrower ideas such as inflation indexing of basis or expanded exclusions for primary residences, yet none have advanced into enacted law or firm legislative vehicles with timelines reaching 2027. Congressional attention has instead prioritized spending restraint, tariff implementation, and other fiscal measures amid rising debt projections, reducing near-term momentum for a standalone rate cut. With roughly six months remaining before the 2027 threshold and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle explicitly targeting long-term capital gains reductions, trader pricing reflects the absence of concrete progress and the limited remaining legislative calendar.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問