With only two weeks left until the May 31 deadline, procedural barriers make any removal of President Trump highly improbable under current conditions. Impeachment requires House charges and a Senate trial with two-thirds support, a process that historically spans months even in accelerated cases. Invocation of the 25th Amendment would need cabinet consensus or medical certification followed by congressional approval, none of which has surfaced in recent developments. No legislative votes, health announcements, or diplomatic crises have altered the baseline stability of the administration. The 99.6 percent trader consensus on continuation aligns with these structural timelines and the absence of qualifying events that could trigger resolution before the cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,593,442 Vol.
$1,593,442 Vol.
2026/05/31
$1,593,442 Vol.
$1,593,442 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With only two weeks left until the May 31 deadline, procedural barriers make any removal of President Trump highly improbable under current conditions. Impeachment requires House charges and a Senate trial with two-thirds support, a process that historically spans months even in accelerated cases. Invocation of the 25th Amendment would need cabinet consensus or medical certification followed by congressional approval, none of which has surfaced in recent developments. No legislative votes, health announcements, or diplomatic crises have altered the baseline stability of the administration. The 99.6 percent trader consensus on continuation aligns with these structural timelines and the absence of qualifying events that could trigger resolution before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
音量
$1,593,442終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With only two weeks left until the May 31 deadline, procedural barriers make any removal of President Trump highly improbable under current conditions. Impeachment requires House charges and a Senate trial with two-thirds support, a process that historically spans months even in accelerated cases. Invocation of the 25th Amendment would need cabinet consensus or medical certification followed by congressional approval, none of which has surfaced in recent developments. No legislative votes, health announcements, or diplomatic crises have altered the baseline stability of the administration. The 99.6 percent trader consensus on continuation aligns with these structural timelines and the absence of qualifying events that could trigger resolution before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,593,442終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With only two weeks left until the May 31 deadline, procedural barriers make any removal of President Trump highly improbable under current conditions. Impeachment requires House charges and a Senate trial with two-thirds support, a process that historically spans months even in accelerated cases. Invocation of the 25th Amendment would need cabinet consensus or medical certification followed by congressional approval, none of which has surfaced in recent developments. No legislative votes, health announcements, or diplomatic crises have altered the baseline stability of the administration. The 99.6 percent trader consensus on continuation aligns with these structural timelines and the absence of qualifying events that could trigger resolution before the cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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