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icon for Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?

Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?

icon for Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?

Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?

14% 確率
Polymarket
新規
14% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miguel Diaz-Canel talks with Donald Trump between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Migueal Diaz-Canel and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on this market reflects the absence of any scheduled diplomatic contacts or policy signals indicating a direct conversation between President Trump and Cuban leader Miguel Diaz-Canel before the June 30 deadline. U.S. policy toward Cuba has emphasized sanctions, restricted travel, and limited official engagement since the prior administration, with recent statements from the White House focusing instead on domestic priorities and relations with larger strategic competitors. No bilateral summits, phone calls, or high-level visits appear on the near-term calendar, consistent with historical patterns where such leader-level talks require substantial preparatory shifts in bilateral ties. This leaves only narrow pathways for an unexpected development to move probabilities before the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miguel Diaz-Canel talks with Donald Trump between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Migueal Diaz-Canel and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,936
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miguel Diaz-Canel talks with Donald Trump between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Migueal Diaz-Canel and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miguel Diaz-Canel talks with Donald Trump between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Migueal Diaz-Canel and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on this market reflects the absence of any scheduled diplomatic contacts or policy signals indicating a direct conversation between President Trump and Cuban leader Miguel Diaz-Canel before the June 30 deadline. U.S. policy toward Cuba has emphasized sanctions, restricted travel, and limited official engagement since the prior administration, with recent statements from the White House focusing instead on domestic priorities and relations with larger strategic competitors. No bilateral summits, phone calls, or high-level visits appear on the near-term calendar, consistent with historical patterns where such leader-level talks require substantial preparatory shifts in bilateral ties. This leaves only narrow pathways for an unexpected development to move probabilities before the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miguel Diaz-Canel talks with Donald Trump between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Migueal Diaz-Canel and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,936
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miguel Diaz-Canel talks with Donald Trump between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Migueal Diaz-Canel and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して14%です。例えば、「はい」が14¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を14%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 15, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して14%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を14%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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