Traders see a tight race among several posting ranges for Donald Trump on Truth Social during the week of May 19-26 because his historical volume fluctuates with news cycles, campaign activity, and official duties rather than following a fixed pattern. Recent weeks have shown consistent but variable output, with daily posts often tied to policy announcements, media coverage, or legislative developments that prompt quick reactions. The current spread reflects uncertainty over whether any major events, such as scheduled appearances or breaking political developments, will accelerate activity into higher totals or keep it within more moderate bands. Unexpected shifts in the news environment or changes in his schedule could quickly consolidate probabilities around one range by altering the pace of new content.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日200+ 27%
160-179 19%
100-119 17%
120-139 16%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
4%
100-119
17%
120-139
31%
140-159
14%
160-179
13%
180-199
15%
200+
24%
200+ 27%
160-179 19%
100-119 17%
120-139 16%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
4%
100-119
17%
120-139
31%
140-159
14%
160-179
13%
180-199
15%
200+
24%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders see a tight race among several posting ranges for Donald Trump on Truth Social during the week of May 19-26 because his historical volume fluctuates with news cycles, campaign activity, and official duties rather than following a fixed pattern. Recent weeks have shown consistent but variable output, with daily posts often tied to policy announcements, media coverage, or legislative developments that prompt quick reactions. The current spread reflects uncertainty over whether any major events, such as scheduled appearances or breaking political developments, will accelerate activity into higher totals or keep it within more moderate bands. Unexpected shifts in the news environment or changes in his schedule could quickly consolidate probabilities around one range by altering the pace of new content.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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