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icon for ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?

ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?

icon for ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?

ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?

200+ 27%

160-179 19%

100-119 17%

120-139 16%

Polymarket
新規

200+ 27%

160-179 19%

100-119 17%

120-139 16%

Polymarket
新規

<20

$2,548 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$368 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$668 Vol.

1%

60-79

$1,048 Vol.

2%

80-99

$591 Vol.

4%

100-119

$217 Vol.

17%

120-139

$99 Vol.

31%

140-159

$118 Vol.

14%

160-179

$118 Vol.

13%

180-199

$68 Vol.

15%

200+

$94 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a tight race among several posting ranges for Donald Trump on Truth Social during the week of May 19-26 because his historical volume fluctuates with news cycles, campaign activity, and official duties rather than following a fixed pattern. Recent weeks have shown consistent but variable output, with daily posts often tied to policy announcements, media coverage, or legislative developments that prompt quick reactions. The current spread reflects uncertainty over whether any major events, such as scheduled appearances or breaking political developments, will accelerate activity into higher totals or keep it within more moderate bands. Unexpected shifts in the news environment or changes in his schedule could quickly consolidate probabilities around one range by altering the pace of new content.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$5,936
終了日
2026/05/26
マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a tight race among several posting ranges for Donald Trump on Truth Social during the week of May 19-26 because his historical volume fluctuates with news cycles, campaign activity, and official duties rather than following a fixed pattern. Recent weeks have shown consistent but variable output, with daily posts often tied to policy announcements, media coverage, or legislative developments that prompt quick reactions. The current spread reflects uncertainty over whether any major events, such as scheduled appearances or breaking political developments, will accelerate activity into higher totals or keep it within more moderate bands. Unexpected shifts in the news environment or changes in his schedule could quickly consolidate probabilities around one range by altering the pace of new content.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$5,936
終了日
2026/05/26
マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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よくある質問

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「120-139」で31%、次いで「200+」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、31¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に31%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 16, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「120-139」で31%であり、市場がこの結果に31%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「200+」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。