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icon for 米国がキューバの石油制裁緩和を発表... ?

米国がキューバの石油制裁緩和を発表... ?

icon for 米国がキューバの石油制裁緩和を発表... ?

米国がキューバの石油制裁緩和を発表... ?

$46,696 Vol.

2026/09/30
Polymarket

$46,696 Vol.

Polymarket

9月30日

$43 Vol.

29%

12月31日

$0 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed. An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has maintained and expanded oil-related sanctions on Cuba since January 2026 through an executive order authorizing tariffs on third countries supplying petroleum and subsequent measures targeting Cuba’s state-owned Unión Cuba-Petróleo (CUPET). These steps followed the cutoff of Venezuelan shipments after Maduro’s ouster and aimed to restrict foreign deliveries amid Cuba’s energy shortages and blackouts. Recent actions, including June 2026 sanctions on the Cuban oil company and continued enforcement of secondary penalties, reflect a consistent policy prioritizing pressure on the Cuban government over easing measures. Limited licenses for private-sector Venezuelan oil resale have provided minimal relief but have not altered the broader blockade framework. Traders monitoring the market weigh any potential diplomatic shifts, humanitarian aid packages, or third-country negotiations against the administration’s stated goals of regime change by year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.

An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$46,696
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed. An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed. An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has maintained and expanded oil-related sanctions on Cuba since January 2026 through an executive order authorizing tariffs on third countries supplying petroleum and subsequent measures targeting Cuba’s state-owned Unión Cuba-Petróleo (CUPET). These steps followed the cutoff of Venezuelan shipments after Maduro’s ouster and aimed to restrict foreign deliveries amid Cuba’s energy shortages and blackouts. Recent actions, including June 2026 sanctions on the Cuban oil company and continued enforcement of secondary penalties, reflect a consistent policy prioritizing pressure on the Cuban government over easing measures. Limited licenses for private-sector Venezuelan oil resale have provided minimal relief but have not altered the broader blockade framework. Traders monitoring the market weigh any potential diplomatic shifts, humanitarian aid packages, or third-country negotiations against the administration’s stated goals of regime change by year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.

An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$46,696
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed. An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「米国がキューバの石油制裁緩和を発表... ?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で31%、次いで「9月30日」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、31¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に31%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「米国がキューバの石油制裁緩和を発表... ?」は$46.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 15, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「米国がキューバの石油制裁緩和を発表... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「米国がキューバの石油制裁緩和を発表... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で31%であり、市場がこの結果に31%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9月30日」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「米国がキューバの石油制裁緩和を発表... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。