**US sanctions relief for Iranian oil exports remains on hold following the July 7, 2026 revocation of General License X, which had briefly authorized production, sale, and dollar-denominated transactions through August 21 as part of a short-lived U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding.** That temporary waiver, issued in late June amid ceasefire talks, aimed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and advance nuclear inspections in exchange for economic concessions but was withdrawn after reported tanker attacks and compliance concerns. Traders now focus on whether renewed OFAC action will emerge before key deadlines, weighing Iran's oil revenue potential—estimated in the billions from unlocked floating inventory—against broader energy market effects on Brent and WTI benchmarks. Ongoing diplomatic uncertainty, enforcement priorities, and any fresh geopolitical developments continue to shape market-implied odds for near-term reissuance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$361,166 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
9%
10月31日
32%
$361,166 Vol.
9月30日
$22,140 Vol.
9%
10月31日
$8,756 Vol.
32%
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.**US sanctions relief for Iranian oil exports remains on hold following the July 7, 2026 revocation of General License X, which had briefly authorized production, sale, and dollar-denominated transactions through August 21 as part of a short-lived U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding.** That temporary waiver, issued in late June amid ceasefire talks, aimed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and advance nuclear inspections in exchange for economic concessions but was withdrawn after reported tanker attacks and compliance concerns. Traders now focus on whether renewed OFAC action will emerge before key deadlines, weighing Iran's oil revenue potential—estimated in the billions from unlocked floating inventory—against broader energy market effects on Brent and WTI benchmarks. Ongoing diplomatic uncertainty, enforcement priorities, and any fresh geopolitical developments continue to shape market-implied odds for near-term reissuance.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
音量
$361,166終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.**US sanctions relief for Iranian oil exports remains on hold following the July 7, 2026 revocation of General License X, which had briefly authorized production, sale, and dollar-denominated transactions through August 21 as part of a short-lived U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding.** That temporary waiver, issued in late June amid ceasefire talks, aimed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and advance nuclear inspections in exchange for economic concessions but was withdrawn after reported tanker attacks and compliance concerns. Traders now focus on whether renewed OFAC action will emerge before key deadlines, weighing Iran's oil revenue potential—estimated in the billions from unlocked floating inventory—against broader energy market effects on Brent and WTI benchmarks. Ongoing diplomatic uncertainty, enforcement priorities, and any fresh geopolitical developments continue to shape market-implied odds for near-term reissuance.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
音量
$361,166終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**US sanctions relief for Iranian oil exports remains on hold following the July 7, 2026 revocation of General License X, which had briefly authorized production, sale, and dollar-denominated transactions through August 21 as part of a short-lived U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding.** That temporary waiver, issued in late June amid ceasefire talks, aimed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and advance nuclear inspections in exchange for economic concessions but was withdrawn after reported tanker attacks and compliance concerns. Traders now focus on whether renewed OFAC action will emerge before key deadlines, weighing Iran's oil revenue potential—estimated in the billions from unlocked floating inventory—against broader energy market effects on Brent and WTI benchmarks. Ongoing diplomatic uncertainty, enforcement priorities, and any fresh geopolitical developments continue to shape market-implied odds for near-term reissuance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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