Ongoing Middle East tensions, including the US-Iran conflict and associated military actions since late February 2026, have sharply reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and prompted production cuts by major Gulf suppliers. These supply disruptions lifted Brent crude above $100 per barrel in March and sustained levels near $107–119 through mid-May, well above earlier 2026 averages near $60. Traders monitor US naval escort operations, OPEC+ output decisions, and any signs of de-escalation that could restore shipping lanes or ease voluntary cuts. Record historical peaks near $147 from 2008 remain the benchmark for all-time-high resolutions, with further escalation or sustained shortages providing the clearest near-term catalysts for additional gains.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$239,648 Vol.
2026/12/31
May 31
3%
June 30
14%
September 30
32%
December 31
46%
$239,648 Vol.
May 31
$163,868 Vol.
3%
June 30
$20,250 Vol.
14%
September 30
$31,521 Vol.
32%
December 31
$24,010 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Ongoing Middle East tensions, including the US-Iran conflict and associated military actions since late February 2026, have sharply reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and prompted production cuts by major Gulf suppliers. These supply disruptions lifted Brent crude above $100 per barrel in March and sustained levels near $107–119 through mid-May, well above earlier 2026 averages near $60. Traders monitor US naval escort operations, OPEC+ output decisions, and any signs of de-escalation that could restore shipping lanes or ease voluntary cuts. Record historical peaks near $147 from 2008 remain the benchmark for all-time-high resolutions, with further escalation or sustained shortages providing the clearest near-term catalysts for additional gains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
音量
$239,648終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Ongoing Middle East tensions, including the US-Iran conflict and associated military actions since late February 2026, have sharply reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and prompted production cuts by major Gulf suppliers. These supply disruptions lifted Brent crude above $100 per barrel in March and sustained levels near $107–119 through mid-May, well above earlier 2026 averages near $60. Traders monitor US naval escort operations, OPEC+ output decisions, and any signs of de-escalation that could restore shipping lanes or ease voluntary cuts. Record historical peaks near $147 from 2008 remain the benchmark for all-time-high resolutions, with further escalation or sustained shortages providing the clearest near-term catalysts for additional gains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$239,648終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Middle East tensions, including the US-Iran conflict and associated military actions since late February 2026, have sharply reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and prompted production cuts by major Gulf suppliers. These supply disruptions lifted Brent crude above $100 per barrel in March and sustained levels near $107–119 through mid-May, well above earlier 2026 averages near $60. Traders monitor US naval escort operations, OPEC+ output decisions, and any signs of de-escalation that could restore shipping lanes or ease voluntary cuts. Record historical peaks near $147 from 2008 remain the benchmark for all-time-high resolutions, with further escalation or sustained shortages providing the clearest near-term catalysts for additional gains.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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