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Politics·Netherlands

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

icon for Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
Politics·Netherlands

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

11% 確率
Polymarket

$12,293 Vol.

11% 確率
Polymarket

$12,293 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The current 89% trader consensus against dissolution of the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer) in 2026 reflects the recent completion of an electoral cycle and the absence of immediate triggers for another snap election.** Following the collapse of the Schoof cabinet in June 2025 over asylum and immigration disputes that prompted PVV withdrawal from the coalition, King Willem-Alexander dissolved parliament and scheduled early elections for October 29, 2025. A new minority government led by D66’s Rob Jetten was subsequently formed and sworn in on February 23, 2026, after coalition negotiations. As of mid-June 2026, this cabinet continues without reported major internal fractures, no-confidence motions, or policy crises sufficient to force resignation or dissolution under Article 64 of the Dutch Constitution. The four-year term from the 2025 vote points to regular elections in 2029–2030, and traders appear to price in limited near-term risk of premature dissolution absent fresh political breakdowns.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$12,293
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The current 89% trader consensus against dissolution of the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer) in 2026 reflects the recent completion of an electoral cycle and the absence of immediate triggers for another snap election.** Following the collapse of the Schoof cabinet in June 2025 over asylum and immigration disputes that prompted PVV withdrawal from the coalition, King Willem-Alexander dissolved parliament and scheduled early elections for October 29, 2025. A new minority government led by D66’s Rob Jetten was subsequently formed and sworn in on February 23, 2026, after coalition negotiations. As of mid-June 2026, this cabinet continues without reported major internal fractures, no-confidence motions, or policy crises sufficient to force resignation or dissolution under Article 64 of the Dutch Constitution. The four-year term from the 2025 vote points to regular elections in 2029–2030, and traders appear to price in limited near-term risk of premature dissolution absent fresh political breakdowns.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$12,293
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して11%です。例えば、「はい」が11¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を11%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?」は$12.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して11%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を11%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。