The newly installed Jetten minority cabinet, formed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer and faces no immediate parliamentary crisis or viable opposition alternative capable of forcing early dissolution. The government has clear survival incentives through the budget cycle and into late 2026, with regular elections not due until 2030. Recent reporting highlights the coalition's ability to weather initial debates without collapse risks materializing, keeping implied dissolution odds low at around 8% for Yes through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
8% 確率
$15,354 Vol.
$15,354 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
8% 確率
$15,354 Vol.
$15,354 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The newly installed Jetten minority cabinet, formed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer and faces no immediate parliamentary crisis or viable opposition alternative capable of forcing early dissolution. The government has clear survival incentives through the budget cycle and into late 2026, with regular elections not due until 2030. Recent reporting highlights the coalition's ability to weather initial debates without collapse risks materializing, keeping implied dissolution odds low at around 8% for Yes through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
音量
$15,354終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The newly installed Jetten minority cabinet, formed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer and faces no immediate parliamentary crisis or viable opposition alternative capable of forcing early dissolution. The government has clear survival incentives through the budget cycle and into late 2026, with regular elections not due until 2030. Recent reporting highlights the coalition's ability to weather initial debates without collapse risks materializing, keeping implied dissolution odds low at around 8% for Yes through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$15,354終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The newly installed Jetten minority cabinet, formed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer and faces no immediate parliamentary crisis or viable opposition alternative capable of forcing early dissolution. The government has clear survival incentives through the budget cycle and into late 2026, with regular elections not due until 2030. Recent reporting highlights the coalition's ability to weather initial debates without collapse risks materializing, keeping implied dissolution odds low at around 8% for Yes through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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