Etsy's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release on July 29 carries a 50% implied probability of an EPS beat versus the consensus estimate near $0.73, reflecting balanced trader sentiment after the company's strong Q1 beat of $0.89 versus $0.62 expectations. Recent marketplace gross merchandise sales growth of 5.5% year-over-year, alongside revenue outperformance and rising active buyer metrics, has supported share price gains exceeding 40% year-to-date. However, the modest 3%–5% GMS guidance range for the current quarter and elevated post-Q1 expectations introduce uncertainty around sustainability amid competitive e-commerce pressures. The earnings report itself, including any updates on adjusted EBITDA margins or full-year outlook, stands as the primary near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities decisively.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/07/29
新規
新規
2026/07/29
As of market creation, Etsy is estimated to release earnings on July 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Etsy's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Etsy reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Etsy releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Etsy's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release on July 29 carries a 50% implied probability of an EPS beat versus the consensus estimate near $0.73, reflecting balanced trader sentiment after the company's strong Q1 beat of $0.89 versus $0.62 expectations. Recent marketplace gross merchandise sales growth of 5.5% year-over-year, alongside revenue outperformance and rising active buyer metrics, has supported share price gains exceeding 40% year-to-date. However, the modest 3%–5% GMS guidance range for the current quarter and elevated post-Q1 expectations introduce uncertainty around sustainability amid competitive e-commerce pressures. The earnings report itself, including any updates on adjusted EBITDA margins or full-year outlook, stands as the primary near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities decisively.
As of market creation, Etsy is estimated to release earnings on July 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Etsy's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Etsy reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Etsy releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Etsy releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
マーケット開始日： Jul 15, 2026, 8:47 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/07/29マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 8:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Etsy is estimated to release earnings on July 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Etsy's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Etsy reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Etsy releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Etsy's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release on July 29 carries a 50% implied probability of an EPS beat versus the consensus estimate near $0.73, reflecting balanced trader sentiment after the company's strong Q1 beat of $0.89 versus $0.62 expectations. Recent marketplace gross merchandise sales growth of 5.5% year-over-year, alongside revenue outperformance and rising active buyer metrics, has supported share price gains exceeding 40% year-to-date. However, the modest 3%–5% GMS guidance range for the current quarter and elevated post-Q1 expectations introduce uncertainty around sustainability amid competitive e-commerce pressures. The earnings report itself, including any updates on adjusted EBITDA margins or full-year outlook, stands as the primary near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities decisively.
As of market creation, Etsy is estimated to release earnings on July 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Etsy's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Etsy reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Etsy releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Etsy releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
音量
$0終了日
2026/07/29マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 8:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Etsy's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release on July 29 carries a 50% implied probability of an EPS beat versus the consensus estimate near $0.73, reflecting balanced trader sentiment after the company's strong Q1 beat of $0.89 versus $0.62 expectations. Recent marketplace gross merchandise sales growth of 5.5% year-over-year, alongside revenue outperformance and rising active buyer metrics, has supported share price gains exceeding 40% year-to-date. However, the modest 3%–5% GMS guidance range for the current quarter and elevated post-Q1 expectations introduce uncertainty around sustainability amid competitive e-commerce pressures. The earnings report itself, including any updates on adjusted EBITDA margins or full-year outlook, stands as the primary near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities decisively.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問