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icon for ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026

ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026

icon for ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026

ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026

フィンランド 51.0%

オーストラリア 17.3%

ギリシャ 7.4%

ルーマニア 6.6%

Polymarket

$169,161,733 Vol.

フィンランド 51.0%

オーストラリア 17.3%

ギリシャ 7.4%

ルーマニア 6.6%

Polymarket

$169,161,733 Vol.

icon for フィンランド

フィンランド

$4,981,136 Vol.

51%

icon for オーストラリア

オーストラリア

$3,216,351 Vol.

17%

icon for ギリシャ

ギリシャ

$4,138,708 Vol.

7%

icon for ルーマニア

ルーマニア

$3,139,756 Vol.

7%

icon for イスラエル

イスラエル

$3,253,176 Vol.

6%

icon for ブルガリア

ブルガリア

$3,860,461 Vol.

4%

icon for デンマーク

デンマーク

$2,754,858 Vol.

3%

icon for イタリア

イタリア

$4,094,666 Vol.

2%

icon for フランス

フランス

$3,540,783 Vol.

2%

icon for チェコ

チェコ

$2,470,439 Vol.

1%

icon for クロアチア

クロアチア

$5,027,850 Vol.

1%

icon for モルドバ

モルドバ

$4,382,513 Vol.

1%

icon for スウェーデン

スウェーデン

$2,342,165 Vol.

1%

icon for ウクライナ

ウクライナ

$3,103,051 Vol.

1%

icon for アルバニア

アルバニア

$7,062,243 Vol.

<1%

icon for マルタ

マルタ

$3,456,666 Vol.

<1%

icon for セルビア

セルビア

$6,051,712 Vol.

<1%

icon for ノルウェー

ノルウェー

$5,164,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for キプロス

キプロス

$3,473,966 Vol.

<1%

icon for ポーランド

ポーランド

$7,297,698 Vol.

<1%

icon for オーストリア

オーストリア

$7,519,233 Vol.

<1%

icon for ベルギー

ベルギー

$5,090,920 Vol.

<1%

icon for ドイツ

ドイツ

$4,042,135 Vol.

<1%

icon for リトアニア

リトアニア

$5,693,904 Vol.

<1%

icon for イギリス

イギリス

$3,897,874 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands 52% implied probability as the clear frontrunner on Polymarket, fueled by their explosive violin-driven industrial pop blending classical flair and rock energy that dominated rehearsals and the OGAE fan poll, securing easy qualification from Semi-Final 1. Australia's Delta Goodrem follows at 17% with the spectacle-heavy "Eclipse," a jury darling boosted by her star power and strong Semi-Final 2 advancement alongside surging Greece (Akylas' dramatic "Ferro"), Romania (Alexandra Căpitănescu's edgy "Choke Me"), and Israel. Yesterday's qualifiers locked in the top contenders for tomorrow's Vienna grand final, where televote surges and running order—Finland slotted advantageously—could spark upsets amid geopolitical buzz around Israel. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Finland's broad appeal, though juries and diaspora voting add volatility.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$169,161,733
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands 52% implied probability as the clear frontrunner on Polymarket, fueled by their explosive violin-driven industrial pop blending classical flair and rock energy that dominated rehearsals and the OGAE fan poll, securing easy qualification from Semi-Final 1. Australia's Delta Goodrem follows at 17% with the spectacle-heavy "Eclipse," a jury darling boosted by her star power and strong Semi-Final 2 advancement alongside surging Greece (Akylas' dramatic "Ferro"), Romania (Alexandra Căpitănescu's edgy "Choke Me"), and Israel. Yesterday's qualifiers locked in the top contenders for tomorrow's Vienna grand final, where televote surges and running order—Finland slotted advantageously—could spark upsets amid geopolitical buzz around Israel. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Finland's broad appeal, though juries and diaspora voting add volatility.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$169,161,733
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」はPolymarket上の35個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フィンランド」で51%、次いで「オーストラリア」が17%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、51¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に51%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」は$169.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 6, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」で取引するには、このページに記載されている35個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」の現在のフロントランナーは「フィンランド」で51%であり、市場がこの結果に51%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「オーストラリア」で17%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。