Mercedes' superior one-lap qualifying pace throughout the early 2026 season has positioned George Russell as the trader consensus favorite for pole position at the Canadian Grand Prix on Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, where high downforce and heavy braking zones reward their car's strengths. Russell, second in the drivers' standings behind teammate Kimi Antonelli—who claimed poles in China, Japan, and Miami—leads at 30.5% implied probability, buoyed by his Australia pole and historical Montreal speed from 2025 practice dominance. McLaren's Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri trail closely at 19.5% and 18.5%, reflecting their consistent Q3 threats, while Max Verstappen's 20% share acknowledges Red Bull's latent single-lap potential amid a tight top-five field. No major setup changes or incidents reported post-Miami shift sentiment significantly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日George Russell 31%
Kimi Antonelli 22%
Lando Norris 20%
Max Verstappen 19%
George Russell
31%
Kimi Antonelli
22%
Lando Norris
20%
Max Verstappen
19%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Charles Leclerc
11%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Alexander Albon
3%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Pierre Gasly
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
George Russell 31%
Kimi Antonelli 22%
Lando Norris 20%
Max Verstappen 19%
George Russell
31%
Kimi Antonelli
22%
Lando Norris
20%
Max Verstappen
19%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Charles Leclerc
11%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Alexander Albon
3%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Pierre Gasly
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
マーケット開始日: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercedes' superior one-lap qualifying pace throughout the early 2026 season has positioned George Russell as the trader consensus favorite for pole position at the Canadian Grand Prix on Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, where high downforce and heavy braking zones reward their car's strengths. Russell, second in the drivers' standings behind teammate Kimi Antonelli—who claimed poles in China, Japan, and Miami—leads at 30.5% implied probability, buoyed by his Australia pole and historical Montreal speed from 2025 practice dominance. McLaren's Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri trail closely at 19.5% and 18.5%, reflecting their consistent Q3 threats, while Max Verstappen's 20% share acknowledges Red Bull's latent single-lap potential amid a tight top-five field. No major setup changes or incidents reported post-Miami shift sentiment significantly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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