The tight contest for Canadian Grand Prix pole position reflects Mercedes' recent qualifying strength on Montreal's high-speed layout, where George Russell holds a narrow edge in trader consensus thanks to his proven street-circuit form and consistent front-row starts this season. Teammate Kimi Antonelli trails closely after three straight poles and victories, though his championship lead has not yet translated to outright dominance in single-lap pace. Max Verstappen's improving Red Bull and the McLaren duo of Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri add further pressure through strong sector times and historical track records, keeping the top group within a narrow implied-probability band. Recent session data and head-to-head qualifying splits underscore how small margins in the final sector continue to shape the market's balanced view.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日George Russell 31%
Max Verstappen 28%
Kimi Antonelli 23%
Lando Norris 18%
George Russell
31%
Max Verstappen
27%
Kimi Antonelli
23%
Lando Norris
18%
Oscar Piastri
17%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Gabriel Bortoleto
3%
Alexander Albon
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
George Russell 31%
Max Verstappen 28%
Kimi Antonelli 23%
Lando Norris 18%
George Russell
31%
Max Verstappen
27%
Kimi Antonelli
23%
Lando Norris
18%
Oscar Piastri
17%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Gabriel Bortoleto
3%
Alexander Albon
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
マーケット開始日: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
The tight contest for Canadian Grand Prix pole position reflects Mercedes' recent qualifying strength on Montreal's high-speed layout, where George Russell holds a narrow edge in trader consensus thanks to his proven street-circuit form and consistent front-row starts this season. Teammate Kimi Antonelli trails closely after three straight poles and victories, though his championship lead has not yet translated to outright dominance in single-lap pace. Max Verstappen's improving Red Bull and the McLaren duo of Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri add further pressure through strong sector times and historical track records, keeping the top group within a narrow implied-probability band. Recent session data and head-to-head qualifying splits underscore how small margins in the final sector continue to shape the market's balanced view.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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