The tight clustering of implied probabilities across winning margins for the 2026 Dutch Grand Prix reflects Zandvoort's demanding layout, limited overtaking zones, and the debut Sprint format that restricts practice time for setup optimization. With Kimi Antonelli leading the drivers' standings but facing pressure from Lewis Hamilton, George Russell, and home favorite Max Verstappen, small gaps remain common when qualifying sets the tone and strategy decisions around tire management or safety car timing dictate the final order. Recent team development pushes and the circuit's history of processional races with occasional incidents further support even distribution of outcomes from sub-five seconds to larger separations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<5s 49%
5-10s 49%
10-15s 49%
15-20s 49%
<5s
49%
5-10s
49%
10-15s
49%
15-20s
49%
20-25s
49%
>25s
49%
Other
1%
<5s 49%
5-10s 49%
10-15s 49%
15-20s 49%
<5s
49%
5-10s
49%
10-15s
49%
15-20s
49%
20-25s
49%
>25s
49%
Other
1%
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
The tight clustering of implied probabilities across winning margins for the 2026 Dutch Grand Prix reflects Zandvoort's demanding layout, limited overtaking zones, and the debut Sprint format that restricts practice time for setup optimization. With Kimi Antonelli leading the drivers' standings but facing pressure from Lewis Hamilton, George Russell, and home favorite Max Verstappen, small gaps remain common when qualifying sets the tone and strategy decisions around tire management or safety car timing dictate the final order. Recent team development pushes and the circuit's history of processional races with occasional incidents further support even distribution of outcomes from sub-five seconds to larger separations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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