Skip to main content
icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
選挙·フランスの選挙

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
選挙·フランスの選挙

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

新規
2027/04/23
Polymarket

$9,820 Vol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$87 Vol.

42%

Jordan Bardella

$895 Vol.

66%

Michel Barnier

$141 Vol.

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 Vol.

10%

Gabriel Attal

$549 Vol.

93%

Élisabeth Borne

$81 Vol.

33%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$104 Vol.

28%

Jean Castex

$64 Vol.

20%

Gérald Darmanin

$144 Vol.

11%

Sébastien Lecornu

$75 Vol.

49%

François Bayrou

$463 Vol.

10%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$41 Vol.

49%

Carole Delga

$148 Vol.

17%

Olivier Faure

$50 Vol.

48%

François Hollande

$132 Vol.

61%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$81 Vol.

49%

Manuel Bompard

$63 Vol.

16%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,383 Vol.

99%

Mathilde Panot

$84 Vol.

8%

Dominique de Villepin

$14 Vol.

55%

Marine Le Pen

$67 Vol.

58%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As the 2027 French presidential election approaches, with Emmanuel Macron term-limited, multiple candidates have declared or positioned themselves for a run during 2026. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth bid on TF1 has intensified left-wing competition, prompting discussions of a unitary primary among figures like Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, and ex-LFI members. On the center-right, Bruno Retailleau’s February declaration and calls for a single candidacy by 90 officials highlight ongoing debates over primaries involving Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, and Gérald Darmanin. These early announcements and coalition efforts reflect party pressures and polling trends that shape trader assessments of who will formally enter the race before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$9,820
終了日
2027/04/23
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As the 2027 French presidential election approaches, with Emmanuel Macron term-limited, multiple candidates have declared or positioned themselves for a run during 2026. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth bid on TF1 has intensified left-wing competition, prompting discussions of a unitary primary among figures like Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, and ex-LFI members. On the center-right, Bruno Retailleau’s February declaration and calls for a single candidacy by 90 officials highlight ongoing debates over primaries involving Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, and Gérald Darmanin. These early announcements and coalition efforts reflect party pressures and polling trends that shape trader assessments of who will formally enter the race before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$9,820
終了日
2027/04/23
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?」はPolymarket上の21個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jean-Luc Mélenchon」で99%、次いで「Gabriel Attal」が93%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 22, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている21個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jean-Luc Mélenchon」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Gabriel Attal」で93%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。