Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 series has driven recent trader sentiment on the 2026 Humanity’s Last Exam markets, posting verified scores near 62% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and similar evaluators—within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 64-65%. This rapid climb from earlier Llama releases reflects Meta’s focus on high-reasoning configurations and competitive inference scaling, narrowing the gap on the 2,500-question expert-vetted benchmark. With roughly three months remaining until the December 31 resolution, further Muse Spark refinements or a new flagship release could lift Meta above 65%, though sustained Anthropic and OpenAI gains plus evaluation variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the 60%+ and 65%+ thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$58,569 Vol.
2026/12/31
55％以上
35%
60％以上
28%
65%以上
20%
70％以上
7%
$58,569 Vol.
55％以上
$36,531 Vol.
35%
60％以上
$12,419 Vol.
28%
65%以上
$7,755 Vol.
20%
70％以上
$1,864 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 series has driven recent trader sentiment on the 2026 Humanity’s Last Exam markets, posting verified scores near 62% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and similar evaluators—within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 64-65%. This rapid climb from earlier Llama releases reflects Meta’s focus on high-reasoning configurations and competitive inference scaling, narrowing the gap on the 2,500-question expert-vetted benchmark. With roughly three months remaining until the December 31 resolution, further Muse Spark refinements or a new flagship release could lift Meta above 65%, though sustained Anthropic and OpenAI gains plus evaluation variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the 60%+ and 65%+ thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日： Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
音量
$58,569終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ET結算ソース
https://agi.safe.ai/リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 series has driven recent trader sentiment on the 2026 Humanity’s Last Exam markets, posting verified scores near 62% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and similar evaluators—within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 64-65%. This rapid climb from earlier Llama releases reflects Meta’s focus on high-reasoning configurations and competitive inference scaling, narrowing the gap on the 2,500-question expert-vetted benchmark. With roughly three months remaining until the December 31 resolution, further Muse Spark refinements or a new flagship release could lift Meta above 65%, though sustained Anthropic and OpenAI gains plus evaluation variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the 60%+ and 65%+ thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$58,569終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ET結算ソース
https://agi.safe.ai/リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 series has driven recent trader sentiment on the 2026 Humanity’s Last Exam markets, posting verified scores near 62% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and similar evaluators—within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 64-65%. This rapid climb from earlier Llama releases reflects Meta’s focus on high-reasoning configurations and competitive inference scaling, narrowing the gap on the 2,500-question expert-vetted benchmark. With roughly three months remaining until the December 31 resolution, further Muse Spark refinements or a new flagship release could lift Meta above 65%, though sustained Anthropic and OpenAI gains plus evaluation variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the 60%+ and 65%+ thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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