Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月28日のアンカラの最高気温は?
28°C 34%
27°C 28%
29°C 20%
26°C 11%
$20,716 Vol.
$20,716 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
28%
28°C
34%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 34%
27°C 28%
29°C 20%
26°C 11%
$20,716 Vol.
$20,716 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
28%
28°C
34%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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