Latest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月21日のオースティンの最高気温は？
7月21日のオースティンの最高気温は？
100～101°F 47%
98〜99°F 27%
102～103°F 18%
96～97°F 5%
新規
$15,640 Vol.
新規
$15,640 Vol.
2026/07/21
89°F以下
<1%
90～91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94～95°F
2%
96～97°F
5%
98〜99°F
27%
100～101°F
47%
102～103°F
18%
104〜105°F
2%
106～107°F
1%
108°F以上
<1%
100～101°F 47%
98〜99°F 27%
102～103°F 18%
96～97°F 5%
新規
$15,640 Vol.
新規
$15,640 Vol.
2026/07/21
89°F以下
$759 Vol.
<1%
90～91°F
$1,535 Vol.
<1%
92〜93°F
$446 Vol.
<1%
94～95°F
$1,326 Vol.
2%
96～97°F
$2,500 Vol.
5%
98〜99°F
$1,274 Vol.
27%
100～101°F
$2,550 Vol.
47%
102～103°F
$1,050 Vol.
18%
104〜105°F
$3,510 Vol.
2%
106～107°F
$377 Vol.
1%
108°F以上
$334 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
音量
$15,640終了日
2026/07/21マーケット開始日
Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$15,640終了日
2026/07/21マーケット開始日
Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問