Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin on June 30 points to a daily maximum near 94–97°F, with trader consensus clustering in the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins due to modest forecast spread. A building upper-level ridge promoting southerly flow, combined with mostly sunny skies after early clouds and dew points in the mid-70s, supports peak temperatures in this range while limiting rapid intensification. Scattered afternoon convection or increased humidity could cap readings near the lower end, whereas clearer conditions or stronger downslope warming would favor the upper end. Historical June averages near 95°F provide context, with resolution hinging on official Camp Mabry observations and the final model runs overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on June 30?
94-95°F 38%
96-97°F 29%
92-93°F 18%
98-99°F 12%
87°F or below
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 38%
96-97°F 29%
92-93°F 18%
98-99°F 12%
87°F or below
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 28, 2026, 11:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin on June 30 points to a daily maximum near 94–97°F, with trader consensus clustering in the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins due to modest forecast spread. A building upper-level ridge promoting southerly flow, combined with mostly sunny skies after early clouds and dew points in the mid-70s, supports peak temperatures in this range while limiting rapid intensification. Scattered afternoon convection or increased humidity could cap readings near the lower end, whereas clearer conditions or stronger downslope warming would favor the upper end. Historical June averages near 95°F provide context, with resolution hinging on official Camp Mabry observations and the final model runs overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問