Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models project Beijing's August 4 high near 31–33°C amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with possible thunderstorms and high humidity moderating peak readings. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C outcomes, as variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and steering patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C and current model agreement on modest instability support the tight spread, though revised runs closer to resolution could adjust probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日の北京の最高気温は？
8月4日の北京の最高気温は？
34℃ 26%
33℃ 25%
32°C 20%
31℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
28℃以下
1%
29℃
2%
30°C
11%
31℃
15%
32°C
20%
33℃
25%
34℃
26%
35°C
12%
36℃
3%
37°C
5%
38℃以上
3%
34℃ 26%
33℃ 25%
32°C 20%
31℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
28℃以下
$0 Vol.
1%
29℃
$20 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31℃
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33℃
$0 Vol.
25%
34℃
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
12%
36℃
$18 Vol.
3%
37°C
$52 Vol.
5%
38℃以上
$30 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models project Beijing's August 4 high near 31–33°C amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with possible thunderstorms and high humidity moderating peak readings. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C outcomes, as variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and steering patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C and current model agreement on modest instability support the tight spread, though revised runs closer to resolution could adjust probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$119終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models project Beijing's August 4 high near 31–33°C amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with possible thunderstorms and high humidity moderating peak readings. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C outcomes, as variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and steering patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C and current model agreement on modest instability support the tight spread, though revised runs closer to resolution could adjust probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$119終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models project Beijing's August 4 high near 31–33°C amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with possible thunderstorms and high humidity moderating peak readings. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C outcomes, as variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and steering patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C and current model agreement on modest instability support the tight spread, though revised runs closer to resolution could adjust probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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