Recent forecast model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates Beijing's June 29 high will likely fall in the 28–30 °C range, with possible thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating. A weakening high-pressure ridge and incoming moisture from the East Asian monsoon circulation are the main drivers suppressing peak temperatures after recent hotter days (mid-30s °C). Ensemble variability in precipitation timing and amount introduces the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier rain would favor the market's leading 27 °C outcome while clearer conditions could push toward 29 °C. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 30 °C, providing context for why traders see the narrow 27–29 °C cluster as most probable ahead of final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月29日の北京の最高気温は?
28°C 31%
29°C 25%
27°C 23%
30°C 12%
$10,497 Vol.
$10,497 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
23%
28°C
31%
29°C
25%
30°C
12%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 31%
29°C 25%
27°C 23%
30°C 12%
$10,497 Vol.
$10,497 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
23%
28°C
31%
29°C
25%
30°C
12%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates Beijing's June 29 high will likely fall in the 28–30 °C range, with possible thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating. A weakening high-pressure ridge and incoming moisture from the East Asian monsoon circulation are the main drivers suppressing peak temperatures after recent hotter days (mid-30s °C). Ensemble variability in precipitation timing and amount introduces the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier rain would favor the market's leading 27 °C outcome while clearer conditions could push toward 29 °C. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 30 °C, providing context for why traders see the narrow 27–29 °C cluster as most probable ahead of final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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