Recent short-term forecasts from regional models position 14°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires’ August 9 maximum, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions under a weak southerly flow and limited Atlantic moderation that keeps highs near or slightly below the 13–15°C climatological range. Trader consensus, with 45.5% implied probability on 14°C and 23.5–21% on adjacent bins, aligns with ensemble spreads showing modest uncertainty from potential overnight clearing or minor frontal timing shifts. Historical August maxima average near 17°C but recent days have trended cooler around 13–14°C, reinforcing the narrow distribution. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations through the overnight period remain the key catalysts likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
8月9日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
14°C 49%
13°C 23%
15°C 18%
12°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
7%
13°C
23%
14°C
49%
15°C
18%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
2%
14°C 49%
13°C 23%
15°C 18%
12°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
8°C or below
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,840 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$12 Vol.
2%
11°C
$73 Vol.
4%
12°C
$153 Vol.
7%
13°C
$327 Vol.
23%
14°C
$1,972 Vol.
49%
15°C
$496 Vol.
18%
16°C
$39 Vol.
2%
17°C
$94 Vol.
2%
18°C or higher
$33 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional models position 14°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires’ August 9 maximum, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions under a weak southerly flow and limited Atlantic moderation that keeps highs near or slightly below the 13–15°C climatological range. Trader consensus, with 45.5% implied probability on 14°C and 23.5–21% on adjacent bins, aligns with ensemble spreads showing modest uncertainty from potential overnight clearing or minor frontal timing shifts. Historical August maxima average near 17°C but recent days have trended cooler around 13–14°C, reinforcing the narrow distribution. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations through the overnight period remain the key catalysts likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$6,231終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional models position 14°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires’ August 9 maximum, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions under a weak southerly flow and limited Atlantic moderation that keeps highs near or slightly below the 13–15°C climatological range. Trader consensus, with 45.5% implied probability on 14°C and 23.5–21% on adjacent bins, aligns with ensemble spreads showing modest uncertainty from potential overnight clearing or minor frontal timing shifts. Historical August maxima average near 17°C but recent days have trended cooler around 13–14°C, reinforcing the narrow distribution. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations through the overnight period remain the key catalysts likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,231終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent short-term forecasts from regional models position 14°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires’ August 9 maximum, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions under a weak southerly flow and limited Atlantic moderation that keeps highs near or slightly below the 13–15°C climatological range. Trader consensus, with 45.5% implied probability on 14°C and 23.5–21% on adjacent bins, aligns with ensemble spreads showing modest uncertainty from potential overnight clearing or minor frontal timing shifts. Historical August maxima average near 17°C but recent days have trended cooler around 13–14°C, reinforcing the narrow distribution. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations through the overnight period remain the key catalysts likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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