Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a typical mid-winter day in Buenos Aires with surface highs most likely near 13–14°C. Stable high pressure supports modest daytime solar heating, while light southerly flow and variable cloud cover limit boundary-layer mixing and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July climatology shows daily maxima averaging 14–15°C at Ministro Pistarini station, placing the current setup squarely within normal variability. Small differences in predicted insolation, wind speed, and low-level moisture explain the tight split between the 13°C and 14°C contracts; any late-model shift favoring clearer skies or weaker winds could favor the higher bin before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月10日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
14°C 42%
13°C 36%
15°C 9%
12°C 7%
$11,299 Vol.
$11,299 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
36%
14°C
42%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 42%
13°C 36%
15°C 9%
12°C 7%
$11,299 Vol.
$11,299 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
36%
14°C
42%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a typical mid-winter day in Buenos Aires with surface highs most likely near 13–14°C. Stable high pressure supports modest daytime solar heating, while light southerly flow and variable cloud cover limit boundary-layer mixing and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July climatology shows daily maxima averaging 14–15°C at Ministro Pistarini station, placing the current setup squarely within normal variability. Small differences in predicted insolation, wind speed, and low-level moisture explain the tight split between the 13°C and 14°C contracts; any late-model shift favoring clearer skies or weaker winds could favor the higher bin before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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