Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日の釜山の最高気温は？
8月2日の釜山の最高気温は？
37℃ 27%
38℃ 27%
39°C 23%
40℃ 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
36°C以下
11%
37℃
27%
38℃
27%
39°C
23%
40℃
17%
41°C
4%
42℃
2%
43℃
<1%
44℃
<1%
45°C
<1%
46℃以上
<1%
37℃ 27%
38℃ 27%
39°C 23%
40℃ 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
36°C以下
$205 Vol.
11%
37℃
$520 Vol.
27%
38℃
$164 Vol.
27%
39°C
$195 Vol.
23%
40℃
$327 Vol.
17%
41°C
$373 Vol.
4%
42℃
$330 Vol.
2%
43℃
$243 Vol.
<1%
44℃
$117 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
46℃以上
$245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$2,946終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,946終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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