The dominant market consensus around a 35°C high for Busan on August 5 reflects the ongoing regional heatwave tracked by the Korea Meteorological Administration, where persistent high-pressure conditions and southerly flow have sustained daytime maxima in the mid- to upper-30s across southeastern South Korea. Recent observations from nearby Yangsan reaching a national record 42.5°C on August 2 illustrate the broader atmospheric setup of elevated temperatures and humidity that has kept Busan’s daily highs elevated, with model consensus supporting continuation through the 5th. Trader positioning aligns with these verified trends rather than long-term climatology. A realistic shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid model revision lowering the peak below the 35°C threshold before final KMA confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の釜山の最高気温は?
35℃ 100.0%
30℃以下 <1%
31℃ <1%
32℃ <1%
$40,887 Vol.
$40,887 Vol.
30℃以下
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39℃
<1%
40℃以上
<1%
35℃ 100.0%
30℃以下 <1%
31℃ <1%
32℃ <1%
$40,887 Vol.
$40,887 Vol.
30℃以下
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39℃
<1%
40℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The dominant market consensus around a 35°C high for Busan on August 5 reflects the ongoing regional heatwave tracked by the Korea Meteorological Administration, where persistent high-pressure conditions and southerly flow have sustained daytime maxima in the mid- to upper-30s across southeastern South Korea. Recent observations from nearby Yangsan reaching a national record 42.5°C on August 2 illustrate the broader atmospheric setup of elevated temperatures and humidity that has kept Busan’s daily highs elevated, with model consensus supporting continuation through the 5th. Trader positioning aligns with these verified trends rather than long-term climatology. A realistic shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid model revision lowering the peak below the 35°C threshold before final KMA confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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