Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 17 under clearing high pressure and strong southeasterly winds following earlier rain, positioning this as the market leader at 64.5% implied probability. Trader consensus favors 19°C or 18°C (21.5%) because current conditions—dry air, minimal cloud cover, and typical spring warming—align with historical maxima around 17–19°C while limiting upside to 20°C (8.0%). Official guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that reduce volatility, though minor model spreads in peak afternoon readings sustain small probabilities for adjacent outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
9月17日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
19°C 64%
18℃ 26%
20°C 4%
17℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
13℃以下
1%
14℃
2%
15°C
2%
16℃
3%
17℃
4%
18℃
26%
19°C
64%
20°C
4%
21℃
2%
22℃
2%
23°C以上
1%
19°C 64%
18℃ 26%
20°C 4%
17℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
13℃以下
$489 Vol.
1%
14℃
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$197 Vol.
2%
16℃
$424 Vol.
3%
17℃
$848 Vol.
4%
18℃
$796 Vol.
26%
19°C
$1,365 Vol.
64%
20°C
$341 Vol.
4%
21℃
$75 Vol.
2%
22℃
$30 Vol.
2%
23°C以上
$500 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 17 under clearing high pressure and strong southeasterly winds following earlier rain, positioning this as the market leader at 64.5% implied probability. Trader consensus favors 19°C or 18°C (21.5%) because current conditions—dry air, minimal cloud cover, and typical spring warming—align with historical maxima around 17–19°C while limiting upside to 20°C (8.0%). Official guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that reduce volatility, though minor model spreads in peak afternoon readings sustain small probabilities for adjacent outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$5,064終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 17 under clearing high pressure and strong southeasterly winds following earlier rain, positioning this as the market leader at 64.5% implied probability. Trader consensus favors 19°C or 18°C (21.5%) because current conditions—dry air, minimal cloud cover, and typical spring warming—align with historical maxima around 17–19°C while limiting upside to 20°C (8.0%). Official guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that reduce volatility, though minor model spreads in peak afternoon readings sustain small probabilities for adjacent outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,064終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 17 under clearing high pressure and strong southeasterly winds following earlier rain, positioning this as the market leader at 64.5% implied probability. Trader consensus favors 19°C or 18°C (21.5%) because current conditions—dry air, minimal cloud cover, and typical spring warming—align with historical maxima around 17–19°C while limiting upside to 20°C (8.0%). Official guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that reduce volatility, though minor model spreads in peak afternoon readings sustain small probabilities for adjacent outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問