**Trader sentiment strongly favors 27°C as the day's highest temperature in Chengdu, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from meteorological agencies.** On September 20, 2026, conditions featured partly to mostly cloudy skies, light winds (typically under 10 km/h), and humidity around 60-80%, with temperatures rising from morning lows near 21°C to afternoon peaks. Hourly observations reached approximately 27.6°C by mid-afternoon, consistent with forecasts from sources such as the Met Office (27°C daytime maximum) and regional models projecting highs of 26-28°C. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the Sichuan basin, where moderating influences from cloud cover and regional airflow prevent stronger warming. The 96.5% market-implied probability for 27°C incorporates the "wisdom of crowds" from traders monitoring official updates, with only marginal odds (3.5%) on 28°C. Realistic challenges include a final official reading from the China Meteorological Administration or equivalent station data revising slightly higher due to localized microclimate effects or measurement timing, though current evidence indicates low likelihood of exceeding the 27°C threshold. New hourly or daily summaries could refine this before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の成都の最高気温は？
9月20日の成都の最高気温は？
27℃ 99.9%
28℃ <1%
29℃ <1%
22℃以下 <1%
$72,809 Vol.
$72,809 Vol.
2026/09/20
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
100%
28℃
1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
27℃ 99.9%
28℃ <1%
29℃ <1%
22℃以下 <1%
$72,809 Vol.
$72,809 Vol.
2026/09/20
22℃以下
$1,129 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$24,252 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$10,986 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$15,733 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$7,093 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$4,093 Vol.
100%
28℃
$3,644 Vol.
1%
29℃
$4,814 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$709 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
32℃以上
$246 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors 27°C as the day's highest temperature in Chengdu, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from meteorological agencies.**
On September 20, 2026, conditions featured partly to mostly cloudy skies, light winds (typically under 10 km/h), and humidity around 60-80%, with temperatures rising from morning lows near 21°C to afternoon peaks. Hourly observations reached approximately 27.6°C by mid-afternoon, consistent with forecasts from sources such as the Met Office (27°C daytime maximum) and regional models projecting highs of 26-28°C. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the Sichuan basin, where moderating influences from cloud cover and regional airflow prevent stronger warming.
The 96.5% market-implied probability for 27°C incorporates the "wisdom of crowds" from traders monitoring official updates, with only marginal odds (3.5%) on 28°C. Realistic challenges include a final official reading from the China Meteorological Administration or equivalent station data revising slightly higher due to localized microclimate effects or measurement timing, though current evidence indicates low likelihood of exceeding the 27°C threshold. New hourly or daily summaries could refine this before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$72,809終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors 27°C as the day's highest temperature in Chengdu, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from meteorological agencies.**
On September 20, 2026, conditions featured partly to mostly cloudy skies, light winds (typically under 10 km/h), and humidity around 60-80%, with temperatures rising from morning lows near 21°C to afternoon peaks. Hourly observations reached approximately 27.6°C by mid-afternoon, consistent with forecasts from sources such as the Met Office (27°C daytime maximum) and regional models projecting highs of 26-28°C. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the Sichuan basin, where moderating influences from cloud cover and regional airflow prevent stronger warming.
The 96.5% market-implied probability for 27°C incorporates the "wisdom of crowds" from traders monitoring official updates, with only marginal odds (3.5%) on 28°C. Realistic challenges include a final official reading from the China Meteorological Administration or equivalent station data revising slightly higher due to localized microclimate effects or measurement timing, though current evidence indicates low likelihood of exceeding the 27°C threshold. New hourly or daily summaries could refine this before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$72,809終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader sentiment strongly favors 27°C as the day's highest temperature in Chengdu, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from meteorological agencies.** On September 20, 2026, conditions featured partly to mostly cloudy skies, light winds (typically under 10 km/h), and humidity around 60-80%, with temperatures rising from morning lows near 21°C to afternoon peaks. Hourly observations reached approximately 27.6°C by mid-afternoon, consistent with forecasts from sources such as the Met Office (27°C daytime maximum) and regional models projecting highs of 26-28°C. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the Sichuan basin, where moderating influences from cloud cover and regional airflow prevent stronger warming. The 96.5% market-implied probability for 27°C incorporates the "wisdom of crowds" from traders monitoring official updates, with only marginal odds (3.5%) on 28°C. Realistic challenges include a final official reading from the China Meteorological Administration or equivalent station data revising slightly higher due to localized microclimate effects or measurement timing, though current evidence indicates low likelihood of exceeding the 27°C threshold. New hourly or daily summaries could refine this before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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