Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Dallas on July 6 most likely in the mid-90s, driven by typical July high-pressure patterns with light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus across closely matched leading outcomes (93°F or below at 26.5% implied probability and 94-95°F at 23.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact peak values, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew points, or steering winds could alter the high by several degrees. Historical July averages near 95°F and a 105°F record on this date provide context, but short-term model runs show limited spread, keeping probabilities concentrated below 100°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Dallas on July 6?
93°F or below 45%
94-95°F 24%
96-97°F 15%
98-99°F 14%
$20,002 Vol.
$20,002 Vol.
93°F or below
45%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
93°F or below 45%
94-95°F 24%
96-97°F 15%
98-99°F 14%
$20,002 Vol.
$20,002 Vol.
93°F or below
45%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Dallas on July 6 most likely in the mid-90s, driven by typical July high-pressure patterns with light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus across closely matched leading outcomes (93°F or below at 26.5% implied probability and 94-95°F at 23.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact peak values, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew points, or steering winds could alter the high by several degrees. Historical July averages near 95°F and a 105°F record on this date provide context, but short-term model runs show limited spread, keeping probabilities concentrated below 100°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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