Traders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月10日の広州の最高気温は？
7月10日の広州の最高気温は？
35℃ 32%
34°C 26%
36℃ 24%
37℃ 10%
新規
$45,547 Vol.
新規
$45,547 Vol.
2026/07/10
29°C以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
2%
33°C
8%
34°C
26%
35℃
32%
36℃
24%
37℃
10%
38℃
2%
39°C以上
<1%
35℃ 32%
34°C 26%
36℃ 24%
37℃ 10%
新規
$45,547 Vol.
新規
$45,547 Vol.
2026/07/10
29°C以下
$1,876 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$722 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$4,039 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$4,152 Vol.
2%
33°C
$2,549 Vol.
8%
34°C
$3,549 Vol.
26%
35℃
$2,441 Vol.
32%
36℃
$5,385 Vol.
24%
37℃
$6,370 Vol.
10%
38℃
$9,643 Vol.
2%
39°C以上
$4,848 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$45,547終了日
2026/07/10マーケット開始日
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$45,547終了日
2026/07/10マーケット開始日
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTraders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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