Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models project a high near 90°F in Houston on October 15 under partly sunny skies and southeast winds of 5–10 mph, with only a slight afternoon shower chance. This setup favors daytime heating within the current warm, humid air mass ahead of an approaching cold front, keeping temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s. The market’s heavy weighting on 88–89°F (54.5%) and 90–91°F (34.0%) reflects this consensus, with lower bins discounted due to limited cloud cover or early frontal influence. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine exact peak values before resolution.
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