Forecast models for coastal Jeddah project daily highs near 37–40 °C on July 24, consistent with typical July climatology of 36–39 °C moderated by Red Sea humidity and sea breezes. Recent observations show peaks reaching 40 °C, supporting the market’s elevated probabilities for 39 °C (22 %) and 40 °C (22 %). Key variables include steering winds that can suppress or enhance onshore flow, afternoon cloud cover that limits solar heating, and model spread in maximum temperature guidance, which widens uncertainty for extremes above 41 °C (33 %). Resolution hinges on official station readings, likely at King Abdulaziz International Airport, where small shifts in timing or local advection can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月24日のジェッダの最高気温は?
41℃以上 35%
39℃ 27%
38°C 21%
40℃ 20%
31°C以下
<1%
32°C
1%
33℃
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36℃
2%
37°C
17%
38°C
21%
39℃
27%
40℃
25%
41℃以上
35%
41℃以上 35%
39℃ 27%
38°C 21%
40℃ 20%
31°C以下
<1%
32°C
1%
33℃
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36℃
2%
37°C
17%
38°C
21%
39℃
27%
40℃
25%
41℃以上
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for coastal Jeddah project daily highs near 37–40 °C on July 24, consistent with typical July climatology of 36–39 °C moderated by Red Sea humidity and sea breezes. Recent observations show peaks reaching 40 °C, supporting the market’s elevated probabilities for 39 °C (22 %) and 40 °C (22 %). Key variables include steering winds that can suppress or enhance onshore flow, afternoon cloud cover that limits solar heating, and model spread in maximum temperature guidance, which widens uncertainty for extremes above 41 °C (33 %). Resolution hinges on official station readings, likely at King Abdulaziz International Airport, where small shifts in timing or local advection can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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