Recent short-range forecasts from IMD and global models indicate a moderating influence from increased moisture and isolated thunderstorms over Uttar Pradesh around June 13, potentially capping Lucknow’s peak below the intense heatwave values seen earlier in the month. Pre-monsoon trough activity and rising humidity favor convective clouds that limit solar heating during peak afternoon hours, consistent with historical June transitions when daily maxima average near 37–39°C. Trader emphasis on the 35–36°C outcomes reflects this consensus on rain-cooled scenarios, while lower-probability higher bins account for model spread if drier conditions persist. Updated IMD briefings and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 13?
36°C 32%
35°C 32%
34°C or below 20%
37°C 11%
34°C or below
20%
35°C
32%
36°C
32%
37°C
11%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 32%
35°C 32%
34°C or below 20%
37°C 11%
34°C or below
20%
35°C
32%
36°C
32%
37°C
11%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from IMD and global models indicate a moderating influence from increased moisture and isolated thunderstorms over Uttar Pradesh around June 13, potentially capping Lucknow’s peak below the intense heatwave values seen earlier in the month. Pre-monsoon trough activity and rising humidity favor convective clouds that limit solar heating during peak afternoon hours, consistent with historical June transitions when daily maxima average near 37–39°C. Trader emphasis on the 35–36°C outcomes reflects this consensus on rain-cooled scenarios, while lower-probability higher bins account for model spread if drier conditions persist. Updated IMD briefings and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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