Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a Mexico City daily maximum near 24–25°C for July 10, with light showers and afternoon convective clouds typical of the North American monsoon season. This rainy-season pattern often caps peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, producing the tight 34.5%–30.5% spread between the 24°C and 25°C contracts. Slight model differences in cloud timing and precipitation onset explain why 23°C trails at 16% while higher outcomes remain below 9%. Historical July climatology centers on 23–24°C averages, but day-to-day variability from highland elevation and thunderstorm development keeps the market closely balanced ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月10日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
25℃ 39%
24℃ 30%
26°C 21%
23℃ 8%
19°C以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
1%
22°C
3%
23℃
8%
24℃
30%
25℃
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C以上
<1%
25℃ 39%
24℃ 30%
26°C 21%
23℃ 8%
19°C以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
1%
22°C
3%
23℃
8%
24℃
30%
25℃
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a Mexico City daily maximum near 24–25°C for July 10, with light showers and afternoon convective clouds typical of the North American monsoon season. This rainy-season pattern often caps peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, producing the tight 34.5%–30.5% spread between the 24°C and 25°C contracts. Slight model differences in cloud timing and precipitation onset explain why 23°C trails at 16% while higher outcomes remain below 9%. Historical July climatology centers on 23–24°C averages, but day-to-day variability from highland elevation and thunderstorm development keeps the market closely balanced ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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