Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月28日のモスクワの最高気温は？
6月28日のモスクワの最高気温は？
23°C 54%
24°C 28%
22°C 16%
25°C 4.6%
新規
$11,249 Vol.
新規
$11,249 Vol.
2026/06/28
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
16%
23°C
54%
24°C
28%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
23°C 54%
24°C 28%
22°C 16%
25°C 4.6%
新規
$11,249 Vol.
新規
$11,249 Vol.
2026/06/28
19°C or below
$1,164 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$479 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$895 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,608 Vol.
16%
23°C
$1,986 Vol.
54%
24°C
$1,122 Vol.
28%
25°C
$1,021 Vol.
5%
26°C
$1,119 Vol.
1%
27°C
$694 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$583 Vol.
<1%
29℃以上
$707 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$11,249終了日
2026/06/28マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,249終了日
2026/06/28マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問